US-Iran Egos Equally Large, World's Citizens Bear the Burden
The high egos of the United States and Iran are prolonging the tension in their conflict. Although a temporary ceasefire has been extended by Donald Trump, the conflict has not truly subsided.
Behind the diplomatic tug-of-war, the egos of both countries are extending the impasse—and ultimately, the economies of the people, both domestic and global, are bearing the impact.
Blockade & Retaliatory Attacks: Trade Routes Paralyzed
This tension is directly striking the world’s vital energy route, namely the Strait of Hormuz. The United States is tightening the blockade against Iranian ships, even seizing some fleets outside the main area. Trump believes this blockade will make Iran suffer more from its position.
However, on the other side, the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) continues to carry out attacks on passing ships. Additionally, the weakening quality of internal US coordination is giving Iran more confidence.
The war will be harder to stop when both sides are convinced they will win. However, this protracted conflict is causing serious disruptions to the global supply chain. Energy and goods distribution routes are disrupted, creating a domino effect on various sectors of the world economy.
Expensive Oil, People Squeezed
The most immediate impact is felt in the energy market. Global oil prices are holding steady at high levels, around US$100 per barrel, reflecting market concerns over conflict escalation. This situation has the potential to drive up fuel prices in many countries.
For Iran, the pressure is felt more directly. The blockade is stalling oil exports, forcing full storage and potentially reducing production. If Iran has to close ports, rises in food and basic necessity prices will occur and strangle Iranian society.
On the other hand, the United States is also experiencing pressure. Rising petrol prices could trigger public dissatisfaction and become a political risk for the Trump administration, especially ahead of elections.
Ego Overrides Logic, Solutions Grow Distant
Diplomatic efforts are still ongoing, but they continue to hit dead ends. One of the main issues is Iran’s nuclear programme.
In fact, rationally, both the United States and Iran have interests in avoiding a wider war. However, in conflict dynamics, logic is often defeated by ego, political interests, and perceptions of victory.
As long as both countries stick to their positions, this impasse risks continuing, with ever-increasing economic costs for the wider public.