Prabowo's Cabinet Reshuffle Predicted to Continue

Jakarta - Political observer Adi Prayitno from UIN Syarif Hidayatullah Jakarta predicts that cabinet reshuffles in President Prabowo Subianto’s administration will continue in the future. This comes amid political dynamics expected to intensify ahead of the political year. “Reshuffles are inevitable, something certain. Due to many factors. It could be due to performance factors. It could be due to loyalty factors. It could be due to political factors. Because next year will already enter the political year. Even perhaps by the end of this year, it will already be the real political year,” Adi said in the Gaspol Kompas.com YouTube programme on Friday (1/5/2026). This number is higher compared to the first term of Indonesia’s seventh president, Joko Widodo (Jokowi), who only conducted four reshuffles in five years. According to him, this condition shows that reshuffles in the Prabowo era tend to be done gradually or “in instalments”. He predicts that it is not impossible for reshuffles to occur again in the near future, even continuing to subsequent stages. “So for me, this is not the end of everything. The fifth edition of the cabinet reshuffle might be followed by the seventh, eighth, ninth editions, and so on. Like a soap opera with multiple seasons,” Adi stated. He assesses that inter-party dynamics within the coalition will become more pronounced as the political year approaches. “Political parties are starting to fight for their respective political interests. The parliamentary threshold, does it apply only to the central DPR? Does it apply to provinces? That could become a trigger for how relationships will start to have dynamic gimmicks emerging within the government coalition,” he explained. In addition, performance factors are also an important consideration. Adi alluded to several ministers who have recently come under public scrutiny, either due to performance issues or other matters. Therefore, he reminds ministers, deputy ministers, and agency heads not to feel they are in a safe zone. “Never think that being a minister, deputy minister, or agency head means you’re in a comfort zone, sir. Anything can happen. After all, you’re the president’s aides. It’s up to the boss, right? He can replace you anytime. So don’t sleep too soundly,” he said. According to Adi, in a presidential system, the decision to reshuffle is entirely in the hands of the president. Therefore, cabinet officials must be prepared for the possibility of replacement at any time.