Peak Dry Season Coincides with Tourist High Season, Denpasar at Risk of Inflation
Denpasar is entering a period vulnerable to inflation. The cause is the predicted peak dry season in 2026 coinciding with the tourist high season in Bali. The Denpasar City Government is on alert for rising prices of goods during that period.
“The BMKG has issued an early warning triggered by the end of La Niña in February 2026, with Bali, Java, and Nusa Tenggara experiencing an earlier dry season. The peak dry season in August coincides with Bali’s high season. Thus, the pattern may repeat in April-June with increased dry pressure factors,” stated the Head of the Economy Section of the Denpasar Regional Secretariat, I Putu Agus Jayadi, when interviewed by detikBali on Monday (27/4/2026).
Jayadi explained that Denpasar’s year-on-year inflation rate for April 2025, according to the Consumer Price Index released by the Central Statistics Agency (BPS) Bali, was recorded at 2.69%, the highest on the Island of the Gods. Although still considered stable, this threat needs attention, especially since Denpasar relies on food supplies from outside Bali.
Rice for Denpasar is supplied from Tabanan, Gianyar, Central Java (Jateng), and East Java (Jatim). Beef comes from East Nusa Tenggara (NTT), West Nusa Tenggara (NTB), and imports. Chicken meat and eggs are from local Bali farms and Jatim.
Vegetables and horticulture come from Kintamani as well as Malang and Pasuruan in Jatim. Shallots are from Brebes, Jateng. Sugar and cooking oil are distributed through modern markets and the state-owned logistics agency Bulog. Sea fish are from local Bali fishermen and Jatim.
Jayadi emphasised that the Denpasar City Government is carrying out mitigation by strengthening coordination with the Regional Inflation Control Team (TPID), supply chains, and partnerships. Climate risk mitigation is also being done in coordination with the Meteorology, Climatology, and Geophysics Agency (BMKG). Public communication and market operations to boost the availability of staple goods will also be conducted.
“Existing markets are not just those managed by the regional public company. We also involve and encourage traditional village markets. They will become work partners because indirectly they provide value for economic growth in Denpasar. For example, Ketapian Market, Penatih Market as well,” Jayadi explained.
Jayadi mentioned that the dry season combined with the high season could lead to vulnerability to extreme weather disruptions, mainly due to predictions of a below-normal dry season that could cause drought, particularly in Jatim. Demand for commodities from similar regions could also tighten stocks.
Data from the fourth week of April 2026 from Bank Indonesia, Jayadi said, shows Denpasar experienced price increases, mainly caused by canang sari, air transport, cooking oil, household fuel, and wet cakes.
“The components of canang raw materials are prone to inflation. Canang sari consists of various natural materials such as janur (young coconut leaves), fresh flowers (jasmine, rose, ylang-ylang), fruits, and incense. Increases in fuel prices and distribution costs directly affect the prices of these materials because some are supplied from outside Denpasar,” Jayadi clarified.