Jakarta Inflation During Ramadan–Eid al-Fitr 2026 Remains Controlled
Inflation in DKI Jakarta during the Ramadan to Eid al-Fitr period in 2026 remained controlled amid increased seasonal demand from the public. According to data from the Provincial Inflation Control Team (TPID), Jakarta’s inflation in March 2026 reached 0.51% month-to-month (mtm), easing compared to February’s 0.63% (mtm), although slightly higher than the national inflation of 0.41% (mtm).
The Head of Bank Indonesia Representative Office in DKI Jakarta, Iwan Setiawan, stated that on an annual basis, Jakarta’s inflation was recorded at 3.37% (year-on-year/yoy), lower than the previous month’s 4.91% (yoy) and below the national inflation of 3.48% (yoy). “The decline in annual inflationary pressure was partly influenced by the reduced base effect from electricity tariff discounts at the beginning of 2025,” he said in a written statement on Thursday (2/4).
The food, beverages, and tobacco group was the main contributor to inflation with a 1.46% rise (mtm), although easing from the previous month’s 2.23% (mtm). Price increases mainly occurred in commodities such as broiler chicken meat, rice, and red chillies due to spikes in demand and limited distribution during Eid al-Fitr.
Meanwhile, Iwan said the clothing and footwear group recorded inflation of 1.15% (mtm), up from 0.30% (mtm) in the previous month, driven by rises in prices of men’s long jeans and men’s shorts ahead of Lebaran.
The transportation group also experienced inflation of 0.41% (mtm) after previously recording deflation. This increase was triggered by adjustments to non-subsidised fuel prices and intercity transport fares amid high public mobility. However, this pressure was contained by policies offering discounts on air, rail, and toll road transport.
On the other hand, the personal care and other services group recorded inflation of 0.56% (mtm), down from the previous month. Price increases mainly occurred in products such as perfume, shampoo, and facial care, while pressure from jewellery gold remained relatively limited in line with weakening global prices.
To maintain price stability, Iwan explained that TPID DKI Jakarta is strengthening various control measures, including cheap markets, subsidised food programmes, bolstering supply from urban farming, and collaboration between regional food-owned enterprises (BUMD) and producers. Distribution is also maintained through mobile truck operations and facilitation support from Bank Indonesia.
“In addition, routine coordination and public communication are continuously strengthened to maintain public inflation expectations,” he said.
Looking ahead, TPID will continue to optimise the 4K strategy, namely supply availability, price affordability, smooth distribution, and effective communication. These steps are taken to anticipate various global risks such as geopolitical conflicts in the Middle East, commodity price volatility, and exchange rate pressures. On the domestic side, the risk of a strong El Niño phenomenon expected from May to November 2026 is also a concern, given its potential impact on food production on Java Island.
With strengthened synergy, inflation in DKI Jakarta is expected to remain controlled within the national target range of 2.5±1% throughout 2026.