Intelligence Report Reveals Iran's Internal Coalition Strengthening, Evading Western Analysis

An article published by The Telegraph, a British newspaper, has revealed profound and significant changes in Iran’s power structure, particularly within the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC). According to the article’s authors, the West remains unaware of the major restructuring taking place at the heart of Iran’s government, led by an unofficial alliance of influential security and military figures. This alliance is seen as potentially reshaping the balance of power in Tehran. The article, written by Kasra Aarabi and Saeid Golkar, argues that Western analyses of Iran’s political landscape remain superficial and fail to grasp the true centres of power in the country. Particularly following recent leadership changes, the absence of Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei, reportedly killed in the US-Israel war against Iran, and the disappearance of his son and successor, Mojtaba Khamenei. Initially, many viewed Iran’s Parliamentary Speaker, Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf, as the new power figure in Iran. However, the article deems this perception misleading. According to the authors, Ghalibaf is increasingly sidelined from the power circle and losing trust, even within the IRGC network. Conversely, Ahmad Vahidi is now cited as the new de facto leader of the IRGC. This claim, according to the article, is supported by several Western intelligence sources. Despite his central position, Vahidi faces major challenges due to lacking a strong influence base among the IRGC’s younger members and Basij forces.