Bre-X climbs on new Busang gold estimate
Bre-X climbs on new Busang gold estimate
CALGARY (Reuter): A new calculation of the amount of gold
harbored in Bre-X Minerals Ltd's huge Busang property in
Indonesia sent investors scurrying into the market Thursday,
driving up the company's stock in heavy volume.
Bre-X, the Cinderella story of the international gold mining
scene, climbed 40 cents in Toronto to C$25.40 with 2.05 million
shares changing hands.
The company earlier on Thursday released a new resource
calculation for Busang, pegging official reserves at over 39
million ounces.
The new calculation, which is far lower than estimates
afforded the project by numerous gold analysts, is the result of
a 14-million ounce jump in resource on two sections in Busang's
Southeast Zone I.
Bre-X said its objective is to confirm least 50 million ounces
in the measured and indicated resource category by the end of the
year.
Analysts said the new estimate and the company's intention to
start a feasibility study for the project's mining stage, mark a
major turning point for Bre-X.
The company, which expects to attract a partner to take 25
percent of Busang, said it anticipates producing 2.5 million
ounces of gold per year.
"This is a world-class deposit and it's going to continue to
grow. My feeling is you've got to put the pin in at some point
and I think that's now," said Catherine Gignac, analyst with BZW
Canada.
"You've got to start working out economic details, crunching
numbers on a feasibility study and finding out about cost."
The market is already assigning the resource value multiples
to Bre-X shares usually given to companies already mining gold,
Gignac said.
Exploration companies are generally valued at US$25 to US$50
per ounce and producers garner about US$200 per ounce, which is
about the level at which Bre-X is trading.
Brokerages such as Nesbitt Burns and Levesque Beaubien
Geoffrion estimate the resource potential of Bre-X's Busang
property at over 60 million ounces.
Bre-X vice-president Steve McAnulty said that, given the
expected growth in reserve calculation this year, he could not
disagree with estimates that a 25 percent stake in the project
would be valued at about C$2 billion. Bre-X's current total
market capitalization is about C$6 billion.
"The potential for that to go to C$8 billion, or C$2 billion
for 25 percent, is entirely realistic," McAnulty said.
Within the next two weeks, Bre-X intends to announce its
choice for a financial adviser to oversee the process of bringing
a partner aboard. Most of the world's large gold producers are
expected to have a look at the deal.
He said a partner will likely be chosen by late autumn.
Gignac said senior companies producing large quantities of
gold and need growth opportunities will likely be frontrunners in
attempting to strike a deal.
Companies potentially interested include such North American
senior producers as Placer Dome Inc, Barrick Gold Corp and
Homestake Mining Co and Global player such as RTZ-CRA and Broken
Hill Proprietary.
"Things are going to have be pretty attractive on the deal
side in terms of what the companies have to spend to earn their
interest and operatorship in order to attract them to take a
serious look it," Gignac said.