BMKG: Heavy Rain Looms for Returnees During Peak Eid Homecoming Flow in 2026
The Indonesian Agency for Meteorology, Climatology, and Geophysics (BMKG) has issued a weather forecast for the peak Eid return period in 2026, spanning 24 to 30 March 2026. Overall, most regions of Indonesia are expected to experience rain with light to moderate intensity, though several areas must remain alert to the potential for heavy rain accompanied by extreme weather conditions.
During the period from 24–26 March 2026, light to moderate rain is anticipated in various regions. Nevertheless, an increase in rain intensity to moderate to heavy levels is possible in several areas, such as West Sumatra, Riau, Jambi, South Sumatra, Bengkulu, DKI Jakarta, West Java, Central Java, East Java, Bali, and West Nusa Tenggara.
Similar conditions are also likely in Central Kalimantan, South Kalimantan, Central Sulawesi, West Sulawesi, South Sulawesi, Southeast Sulawesi, Maluku, and several areas in Papua.
“Additionally, Central Kalimantan, South Kalimantan, Central Sulawesi, West Sulawesi, South Sulawesi, Southeast Sulawesi, Maluku, Southwest Papua, West Papua, Central Papua, Papua, and South Papua,” it states on the official BMKG website, Tuesday (24/3).
BMKG also warns of the potential for heavy rain that may be accompanied by lightning or thunder and strong winds in some regions. Areas that need to heighten alertness for heavy to very heavy rain include Lampung, Banten, East Nusa Tenggara, and the Papua Mountains.
Meanwhile, the potential for strong winds is expected in West Nusa Tenggara, East Nusa Tenggara, South Sulawesi, Maluku, West Papua, Southwest Papua, Papua, and South Papua.
Entering the period from 27–30 March 2026, the weather conditions will generally still be dominated by light to moderate rain. However, BMKG notes the potential for increased rainfall to moderate to heavy levels in several regions, including North Sumatra, West Sumatra, Riau, Jambi, South Sumatra, Bangka Belitung Islands, Bengkulu, Lampung, as well as Java regions such as West Java, Central Java, and East Java, including Bali.
Similar potential is also expected in West Nusa Tenggara, East Nusa Tenggara, West Kalimantan, Central Kalimantan, East Kalimantan, North Kalimantan, Central Sulawesi, Southeast Sulawesi, North Maluku, Maluku, and several Papua regions.
For heavy intensity rain, BMKG highlights the Papua Mountains and South Papua regions as areas that need to be wary. The potential for strong winds is expected in West Papua, Papua, and South Papua.
With this forecast, the public undertaking return journeys is urged to increase vigilance against the potential for extreme weather that could disrupt smooth travel.