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Activity on JSX is likely to remain quiet this week

| Source: JP

Activity on JSX is likely to remain quiet this week

JAKARTA (JP): Activity on the Jakarta Stock Exchange (JSX) is
likely to remain minimal this week as most fund managers are
still on their year-end holiday, brokers and securities analysts
believe.

But some analysts said that a sprinkling of local fund
managers might enter the market for superficial purposes, to make
their year-end financial reports look better.

"Most fund managers are still on holiday and even if there is
some movement, it will be purely driven by window dressing," a
broker with a local firm said.

The market will be open only for three days this week --- on
Monday, Tuesday and Friday --- it will be closed on Wednesday and
Thursday for the New Year holiday.

"The overall sentiment through the end of the year will remain
bleak," the dealer said.

Others said that concerns over the direction of the rupiah
would continue to cast a shadow over trading activities in the
coming week.

The spot rupiah ended stronger at 5,150/5,250 against the U.S.
dollar in Jakarta Friday compared with an opening of 5,800/5,900
in the morning session.

The rupiah broke the psychological 6,000 barrier level to hit
an all-time low of 6,200 on Wednesday as corporate borrowers
snapped up the U.S. dollar to pay their maturing foreign debts.

Minister of Finance Mar'ie Muhammad expressed optimism last
week that the rupiah would strengthen against the dollar next
year because the currency had depreciated far below its real
value.

"I'm also optimistic that the rupiah will continue to
strengthen next year," he said.

The value of the rupiah has declined by about 60 percent
against the American dollar since early July when the currency
turmoil began to hit the country.

"I think the rupiah is the key factor for the recovery of the
economy," Mohammad Syahrial, head of research of Pentasena
Securities told The Jakarta Post last week.

The JSX Composite price index closed 117.44 points higher to
396.53 on Wednesday from 378.79 in the previous week's last
trading day

The average daily turnover fell by 27 percent to just 407.37
million shares last week from 560.40 million shares changing
hands in the previous week.

While the average daily value fell by 32 percent to Rp 398.63
billion last week from Rp 578.27 billion in the previous week.

Brokers said that they had anticipated such a decline in both
volume and value because there were only three trading days last
week.

Securities analysts predicted that the main price index would
not go higher than 400 by the end of this year.

Most blue chip stocks ended higher last week with
telecommunications firm PT Telkom rising by Rp 50 to Rp 2,950,
Indosat by Rp 425 o Rp 9,900, cigarette maker Sampoerna by Rp 25
to Rp 4,100 and Gudang Garam by Rp 25 to Rp 8,075.

While Bank International Indonesia shed Rp 25 to Rp 400, Bank
Negara Indonesia and BDNI remained unchanged at Rp 575 and Rp 350
respectively last week. (aly)

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