West Java Experiences 0.05% Deflation in July 2026, BPS Reports
The Central Statistics Agency (BPS) of West Java Province recorded a deflation of 0.05% month-to-month (mtm) in July 2026. The year-to-date (ytd) inflation rate stands at 1.64%, with an annual year-on-year inflation rate of 2.72%.
"The deflation in July 2026 was influenced by an abundant supply of shallots, red chillies, and bird’s eye chillies following a bumper harvest in several producing regions such as Bandung and Garut Regencies. The decline in the prices of broiler chicken meat and eggs also occurred due to reduced demand during the school holiday period, as the Free Nutritious Meals (MBG) programme was not operating," said the Head of BPS West Java, Margaretha Ari Anggorowati, on Monday (3/8).
According to Ari, spatially, from the 10 regencies/cities surveyed for the Consumer Price Index (CPI) in West Java, 8 areas experienced deflation, with the deepest deflation occurring in Bekasi City at 0.14%. Meanwhile, two areas experienced inflation: Depok City at 0.13% and Subang Regency at 0.08%. The commodities contributing the most to deflation were shallots at 0.09%, red chillies at 0.07%, gold jewellery at 0.07%, bird’s eye chillies at 0.05%, and broiler chicken eggs at 0.04%. On a year-on-year basis, West Java experienced inflation of 2.72% in July 2026. Bekasi City recorded the highest inflation at 2.87%, while Cirebon City recorded the lowest at 2.28%.
"In general, the deflation in July 2026 was caused by a drop in horticultural commodities, broiler chicken meat, and eggs. The decrease in demand from the MBG kitchens was also a factor in the price decline. Additionally, the reduction in non-subsidised fuel prices also influenced deflation in West Java," she explained.
Ari added that the Farmer’s Exchange Rate (NTP) in July 2026 was recorded at 119.04, a slight increase of 0.06% compared to the previous month. This increase was supported by a 0.02% rise in the index of prices received by farmers (It) and a 0.04% decrease in the index of prices paid by farmers (Ib). Commodities driving the increase in the index of prices received by farmers included unhusked rice, cucumbers, mangoes, and green beans. Meanwhile, commodities driving the decrease in the index of prices paid by farmers were broiler chicken eggs, shallots, bird’s eye chillies, and broiler chicken meat. In terms of sub-sectors, the NTP increase only occurred in the food crops sub-sector, with a rise of 0.60%, triggered by increases in rice and secondary crops.
Conversely, the Farmer’s Terms of Trade (NTUP) decreased by 0.07% to 123.69 due to a 0.09% increase in production costs and capital goods. The dominant commodities influencing the rise in the production cost and capital goods index were increases in ploughing wages, TSP/SP36 fertiliser prices, and spring onion seed prices. "In the livestock sub-sector, the NTUP figure is approaching 100, meaning the exchange rate for livestock farmers is nearly back to the 2018 base year. Therefore, efforts are needed to improve the welfare of livestock farmers in West Java," she stated.
Meanwhile, Ari noted that direct foreign tourist arrivals through Kertajati International Airport in June 2026 totalled 477 visits, a surge of 97.93% compared to May 2026. Tourists from Singapore dominated the arrival proportion at 54.09%. The trend of visits from 2024 to 2026 is still influenced by the dynamics of active international routes and flight frequencies at Kertajati Airport. Furthermore, the arrival of foreign nationals using the Whoosh high-speed train throughout June 2026 was recorded at 17,877. Padalarang Station was the main entry point for foreign nationals, contributing 86.46%, followed by Tegalluar Station at 12.05% and Karawang Station at 1.48%. Cumulatively, from January to June 2026, the number of foreign national visits using Whoosh to West Java reached 87,751.
"Other data for domestic tourists shows that domestic travel in June 2026 reached 18.67 million trips, a decrease of 4.37% compared to the previous month. Cumulatively (January–June 2026), total domestic trips reached 112.12 million, an increase of 4.69% compared to the same period in 2025. The Bodebek and Greater Bandung areas were the main destinations, with a market share reaching 52.15%," she detailed.
Despite the decline in domestic travel, Ari continued, the Hotel Room Occupancy Rate (TPK) actually increased. The TPK for star-rated hotels in June 2026 reached 51.05%, up 2.85 points mtm, with the highest TPK in Karawang Regency at 72.11%, followed by Tasikmalaya City at 63.22% and Purwakarta Regency at 62.48%. For non-star-rated hotels, the TPK in June 2026 was recorded at 25.56%, down 0.63 points mtm but up 2.42 points year-on-year.
Ari stated that the number of domestic flight passengers departing via commercial air transport from West Java was recorded at 394 people, a decrease of 3.67% mtm. The same trend occurred for international flights, which dropped by 93.94% mtm to just 765 people, due to the end of Hajj pilgrim departures from Kertajati Airport. However, passengers using trains increased by 1.80% mtm, reaching 2.43 million people. Similarly, Whoosh passengers totalled 267,000, an increase of 3.73% mtm. "Cumulatively, train passengers grew by 9.57% throughout 2026, while Whoosh passengers grew by 0.61%," she concluded.