US-Israeli Aggression Against Iran Predicted to Continue Until October 2027

The conflict involving the United States, Israel, and Iran will continue until October 2027, according to Dinna Prapto Raharja, an International Relations expert at Binus University. The impact of this conflict is widening in the Middle East, marked by Israeli attacks on Lebanon. “In my view, looking at Israel’s power map, [the war] will continue until October… until the next Israeli election,” Dinna told ANTARA on Wednesday (10/6).

According to her, Israel will continue to launch military attacks against the Lebanese fighting group Hezbollah, an ally of Iran, in a bid to pressure Tel Aviv and Washington’s interests. “Israel wants to raze Beirut to the ground as a symbol of Lebanon’s fall,” Dinna stated.

Dinna noted that peace negotiations between the US and Iran, mediated by Pakistan, are unlikely to reach an agreement, as the conflicting parties “have not yet reached a point of exhaustion to pursue methods other than military intervention.” She highlighted the deadlock in the talks, explaining that neither side is complying with the other’s demands to reach a peace agreement. “Iran feels it is not that weak, while America does not account for Iran’s strength. The US’s ammunition is also running low due to a war that has lasted 100 days and has not been able to resupply its weapons,” she said.

The international relations practitioner from Synergy Policies firmly believes that Iran will not halt its nuclear programme, as demanded by the US. “This nuclear issue involves the longest and most difficult negotiations. With Israel becoming more aggressive in Lebanon and other Middle Eastern countries, Iran is even more unwilling to let go of its nuclear programme,” she explained. On the other hand, the US has still frozen billions of dollars in Iranian assets across various countries and imposed sanctions on Tehran, even though Iran demands the release of these assets as a primary condition for resolving the conflict. The two countries are also still feuding over the Strait of Hormuz—a strategic shipping route through which 20 per cent of the world’s oil supply passes—triggering a global energy crisis.

“In my opinion, the situation is still deadlocked at the negotiating table. So the process is still very long,” Dinna said, adding that a peace agreement “is still far off.” The real sector is expected to become increasingly cautious about business expansion amidst the uncertainty.