US-Israel Conflict with Iran Predicted to Last Until October
Jakarta (ANTARA) - The conflict involving the United States, Israel, and Iran is expected to continue until October 2027, according to Binus University International Relations expert Dinna Prapto Raharja.
The impact of this conflict is expanding across the Middle East, particularly with Israeli attacks on Lebanon.
“In my view, looking at Israel’s power map, the (war) will last until October… until the next Israeli election,” Dinna told ANTARA on Wednesday.
According to her, Israel will continue to launch military attacks against Lebanese militant group Hezbollah, which serves as an Iranian ally in pressuring Tel Aviv and Washington’s interests.
“Israel wants to devastate Beirut as a symbol of Lebanon’s fall,” Dinna stated.
Meanwhile, Dinna noted that peace negotiations between the US and Iran, mediated by Pakistan, are unlikely to reach an agreement because the warring parties “have not yet reached a point of exhaustion that would prompt them to seek alternatives to military intervention”.
Dinna highlighted the deadlock in these negotiations, as neither side is meeting the other’s demands to achieve a peace treaty.
“Iran does not feel that weak, while America is not accounting for Iran’s strength. US ammunition is also depleting due to the war having lasted 100 days without the ability to resupply weaponry,” she said.
The international relations practitioner from Synergy Policies also believes that Iran will not halt its nuclear programme, despite US demands.
“The nuclear issue is the longest and most difficult to negotiate. Precisely because Israel is becoming more aggressive in Lebanon and Middle Eastern countries, Iran is even less willing to abandon its nuclear programme,” she remarked.
On the other hand, the US continues to freeze billions of dollars in Iranian assets across various countries and maintains sanctions against Tehran.
However, Iran is demanding the release of these assets as a primary condition for resolving the conflict.
The two nations also remain in dispute over the Strait of Hormuz—a strategic shipping lane through which 20 per cent of the world’s oil supply passes—triggering a global energy crisis.
“In my opinion, the situation remains at a deadlock at the negotiating table. Therefore, the process will take a very long time,” said Dinna.
“It is difficult; a peace agreement is still far off,” she added.