US-Iran Negotiations Fail, Gold Price Poised to Break Rp 3 Million per Gram

JAKARTA, KOMPAS.com - Intensive negotiations between the United States (US) and Iran to end the conflict in the Middle East have concluded without agreement. This situation is driving projections of rising gold prices, with values potentially breaking through Rp 3 million per gram. Currency and commodities analyst Ibrahim Assuaibi projects that gold prices will remain volatile over the next week, influenced by global geopolitical dynamics and the direction of US central bank interest rates. “If it truly escalates into open war, this will help push gold prices higher,” Ibrahim stated in his comments on Monday (13/4/2026). Global gold prices are poised to rise to $4,897 per troy ounce, with precious metal prices estimated to increase to Rp 2,880,000 per gram. An optimistic scenario suggests even higher gains, with global gold potentially breaching $5,138 per troy ounce, driving precious metal prices to Rp 3,100,000 per gram. “Over the next week until Saturday morning, there is a high likelihood that global gold prices will surge above $5,000, specifically around $5,138 per troy ounce. This could bring precious metal prices to Rp 3,100,000 per gram,” he explained. Corrections remain possible, with global gold potentially dropping to the support level of $4,638 per troy ounce, and precious metal prices falling to around Rp 2,840,000 per gram. “This if there is a correction (over the next week),” he added. Ibrahim assesses that geopolitical factors are the primary determinant. Ongoing tensions in the Middle East continue to shape gold price directions. This situation provides room for the US Federal Reserve to lower interest rates, creating positive sentiment for gold as investors shift to safe-haven assets.