Transport Minister: Lebaran 2026 transport movements projected to fall by 1.7 per cent
Jakarta — Transport Minister Dudy Purwagandhi projected that passenger movement by Lebaran transport in 1447 H / 2026 CE would fall by about 1.7 percent from the previous year, from 146.4 million people to around 143.9 million.
Purwagandhi said the projection was derived from government surveys conducted before Lebaran to map potential mobility and to prepare national transport infrastructure and facilities.
‘In this year’s survey, the number of people expected to travel was 143.9 million. When compared with the survey, there is indeed a decrease of 1.75 percent (compared with the previous year),’ the minister said in Jakarta, Friday (6 March) evening.
The survey was conducted by the Ministry of Transport in collaboration with the Bandung Institute of Technology’s Research and Industry Affiliation Agency (LAPI ITB), the Central Statistics Agency (BPS), and the Ministry of Communications and Digital (Komdigi) to obtain a more accurate picture of mobility potential during Lebaran.
In its implementation, the survey involved around 55,000 respondents from various regions across Indonesia to obtain representative data on travel patterns ahead of the Idul Fitri celebrations.
He explained that in the previous year’s survey the number of people estimated to travel was around 146.4 million during Lebaran nationwide.
However, based on mobile positioning data for the 2025 realization, the actual number of travelers was around 154.6 million, higher than the initial survey results.
Therefore, the Ministry of Transport remains prepared for the possibility of a surge in movement during Lebaran this year that may exceed projections previously made.
‘As experience has shown, there can be a spike between survey results and actualisation, so we must anticipate if a surge arises with numbers different from the survey,’ Purwagandhi said.
According to him, most Indonesians still regard Lebaran as the main time to go home and celebrate Idul Fitri with family in their home region.
He noted that about 50.60 percent of survey respondents said their travel was to celebrate Idul Fitri at their home with family.
Based on origin province, the five provinces with the highest number of homecomers were West Java, Jakarta (DKI), East Java, Central Java, and Banten as origins of travel.
Meanwhile, the most common travel destinations during Lebaran are expected to be Central Java, East Java, West Java, the Special Region of Yogyakarta, and South Sulawesi.
From the origin city perspective, the five regions with the highest movement were East Jakarta, Bogor, Bekasi, South Jakarta, and West Jakarta as starting points for travel.
The five main destination cities expected to attract homegoers during this Lebaran period are Kebumen, Yogyakarta, Surabaya, Banyumas, and Bandung.
The Ministry of Transport also notes significant movement from the Jabodetabek region, with main origins Bogor, Tangerang, East Jakarta, Bekasi City, and Tangerang City to various destinations.
‘This is movement within the Jabodetabek area. It seems the peak in Bogor Regency with Cianjur becoming one of the popular destinations,’ said the Minister.