Supported by Spare Parts and Accessories, BI Confident June 2026 Retail Sales Remain Stable

Bank Indonesia (BI), through its Retail Sales Survey, forecasts that retail sales performance in June 2026 will remain stable, as indicated by a Real Sales Index (IPR) projection of 221.6. Head of BI’s Communication Department, Ramdan Denny Prakoso, explained that this index forecast still records a contraction of 4.4 percent year-on-year (yoy). He stated that this development is mainly supported by positive annual sales growth in the spare parts and accessories group, as well as other household equipment. “Based on the survey results, the spare parts and accessories group recorded an index of 145.5, or growth of 11 percent (yoy), while the other household equipment group recorded an index of 83.5, or growth of 1.8 percent (yoy),” Ramdan said in a statement on Thursday, 9 July 2026. However, several groups are forecast to enter the contraction zone, namely the cultural and recreational goods group (index 56.4; contracted 8.5 percent yoy), and the motor vehicle fuel group (index 103.5; contracted 7.8 percent yoy), after growing by 0.2 percent (yoy) and 0.3 percent (yoy) respectively in the previous period. On a monthly basis, retail sales in June 2026 are forecast to decline by 0.8 percent (month-to-month/mtm), an improvement compared to the previous period’s decline of 1.5 percent (mtm). BI noted that this improvement was driven by increased sales performance in the other household equipment group (1.9 percent mtm) and the clothing subgroup (4.7 percent mtm) as the school holiday period began at the end of June 2026. Meanwhile, the cultural and recreational goods group (-2.0 percent mtm), the spare parts and accessories group (-3.1 percent mtm), and the food, beverages, and tobacco group (-0.7 percent mtm) experienced an improvement from the previous period although they remained in the contraction zone. For the May 2026 realisation, the IPR was recorded at 223.4, or -3.9 percent (yoy), relatively stable from the previous month’s -3.7 percent (yoy). Based on the survey results, the May 2026 IPR performance was supported by continued annual sales growth in the spare parts and accessories group (index 150.1; grew 11.2 percent yoy), motor vehicle fuel (index 107.0; grew 0.3 percent yoy), and cultural and recreational goods (index 57.5; grew 0.2 percent yoy).