Observers Predict Significant Regional Impact from Israel-Iran Conflict
Jakarta — International relations observer Teuku Rezasyah from Padjadjaran University assessed that attacks by Israel and the United States against Iran could have significant consequences for the region.
“This will have a major impact,” said Rezasyah when contacted by ANTARA in Jakarta on Saturday.
Rezasyah stated that Israeli and US attacks on Iran were conducted discreetly through several US military bases in the Middle East region, despite many Middle Eastern countries declaring they would not permit their airspace to be used during such attacks.
Meanwhile, Rezasyah predicted that Iran would retaliate through a comprehensive strike against Israel, similar to what they did during the Twelve-Day War in June 2025.
“What they are retaliating with at the moment are minor counter-strikes, and for that, they are still awaiting a fatwa from the Ayatollah, because the Ayatollah has not yet provided a final answer, still providing a standard response,” he said.
On the other hand, Iran still needs to consider various factors before launching major retaliatory strikes, including weather conditions and attack targets.
“Understanding of weather and understanding of targets is important. So, although Iran already has clear targets, this must be adapted to, for example, remote sensing systems, must be adapted to the satellite systems available,” he said.
According to Rezasyah, Iran would very likely gain support from China, Russia, and Pakistan.
Furthermore, Rezasyah predicted that US military bases in Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates, Qatar, Jordan, and Egypt are already in the sights of Iranian ballistic missiles.
“And the countries above are in difficulty because Iran is the only one that dares to oppose Israeli and American territorial ambitions in the Middle East,” he said.
He also predicted Iran’s potential for conducting military exercises in the Strait of Hormuz. Such circumstances could affect global energy traffic.
Given the potential for large-scale Iranian retaliatory attacks, Rezasyah assessed that this war will have significant consequences for the Middle East region.