Indef: First Quarter 2026 Investment Target Remains Quite Optimistic

Economist from the Institute for Development of Economics and Finance (Indef), Eko Listiyanto, stated that the investment target for the first quarter of 2026 remains quite optimistic. “For the first quarter, I also think this is still quite optimistic. Because most of the first quarter is actually started with our economic growth in the fourth quarter of 2025 which is higher than expected, namely 5.39 percent. That means it can be used as capital to demonstrate the resilience of the Indonesian economy to investors,” Eko said when contacted by ANTARA in Jakarta on Tuesday. Furthermore, he continued, the first quarter coincides with the momentum of fasting and Eid al-Fitr. Thus, from January, there are already signs of increased demand starting from the producer side. “This is because producers are buying more raw materials in preparation for purchases by buyers during Ramadan and Eid, so all indicators are generally rising,” he said. “If calculated mathematically, the first quarter investment is likely to meet the target, so the direction is like that. But the challenge will actually be in the second quarter and beyond,” Eko added. For information, Investment Minister and Downstreaming/Head of the Investment Coordinating Board (BKPM), Rosan Roeslani, is optimistic that the investment realisation in the first quarter of 2026 will reach around Rp497 trillion or grow about seven percent annually. “Insya Allah, the target set by the government for this first quarter can be achieved by us, namely Rp497 trillion,” Rosan said. He added that this investment achievement is also estimated to absorb around 627,000 workers or an increase of 5.5 percent compared to the same period last year. According to Rosan, the national investment target for 2026 is set at Rp2,041.3 trillion in accordance with the 2026 Government Work Plan (RKP) as part of efforts to boost economic growth towards eight percent in the 2025-2029 National Medium-Term Development Plan (RPJMN) period.