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IDX Changes Its Lower Auto-Rejection Limit: Sensible Move or Sign of Panic?

| Source: CNBC Translated from Indonesian | Finance
IDX Changes Its Lower Auto-Rejection Limit: Sensible Move or Sign of Panic?
Image: CNBC

Jakarta, CNBC Indonesia – The Indonesia Stock Exchange (IDX) has again adjusted its share-trading rules, cutting the lower auto-rejection (ARB) limit to 7% from 15%. The policy will apply from 19 October to 31 December 2026, while the upper auto-rejection (ARA) limit remains unchanged.

The move follows an 11.57% plunge in the Jakarta Composite Index (JCI) on Friday, 16 October 2026, after MSCI announced a consultation on a proposed change to Indonesia’s classification from Emerging Market to Standalone Market.

Changed only at the end of September

The adjustment comes exactly three weeks after trading rules were changed on 28 September 2026.

At that time, the IDX removed the minimum share price of Rp50, lowering it to Rp1, while also revising the ARA and ARB rules. Under that framework, the 15% ARB limit for shares priced above Rp10 was to remain in place until the end of the year.

Now, before the rules have been in effect for a month, the limit on declines is being tightened again.

The context is different. September’s changes were intended to broaden price formation and trading flexibility, while the October policy places emphasis on controlling volatility.

The following are the changes to the limits under the general rules for shares on the Main Board, New Economy Board and Development Board:

Curbing turbulence after the MSCI announcement

Officially, the IDX says the adjustment is intended to keep trading orderly, fair and efficient, while giving investors time to digest information.

The sequence of the MSCI announcement, the JCI’s fall and the introduction of the new ARB limit strengthens the interpretation that the policy is a stabilisation measure. However, there is not yet sufficient basis to say MSCI was the sole cause of the decision.

Indonesia has not officially become a Standalone Market. MSCI’s consultation runs until 30 April 2027, with a final decision due no later than 30 June 2027.

The threat of reclassification could nevertheless affect the market sooner. Active investors may reduce their exposure in anticipation of the risk, while related index-tracking funds may need to adjust their portfolios if the change is ultimately implemented.

Slowing a cascade of selling pressure

With the ARB at 7%, a share with a reference price of Rp1,000 would have a lower limit of about Rp930, compared with Rp850 previously, before adjustments for the price tick size.

The narrower limit could slow a cascade of selling pressure. As prices fall, the value of collateral held by investors using leverage also declines, increasing the risk of margin calls and forced selling.

The additional time is intended to give investors room to reassess their positions and allow prospective buyers to evaluate prices.

However, a trading limit does not automatically create buyers. If sell orders continue to dominate, shares may remain at the ARB limit with long queues. Investors who want to sell may not be able to exit.

Cumulative losses can still be substantial. A 7% fall on five consecutive days would amount mathematically to about 30.4%.

Confidence remains key

A narrower ARB limit provides time for stabilisation, but the issues raised by MSCI require structural improvements.

Ownership transparency, suspected coordinated trading and consistent enforcement of rules are concerns that must be addressed with evidence of progress.

Ultimately, the policy’s success depends on a recovery in liquidity and confidence. Without such developments, selling pressure could continue even if price declines are spread over several trading days.

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