Pertamina gets offer to hedge oil price at $22
Pertamina gets offer to hedge oil price at $22
Berni K. Moestafa, The Jakarta Post, Jakarta
State oil and gas company Pertamina said it had received
offers from Bank of America and Credit Suisse to hedge its crude
oil selling price at US$22 a barrel to safeguard oil revenues for
next year's state budget against a protracted slump in oil
prices.
Pertamina president Baihaki Hakim on Tuesday described the two
financial institutions as respected hedging agencies in the
market.
Asked whether Pertamina had approached them, he said "they've
made the offer."
He confirmed that the two institutions had agreed to hedge
Indonesia's crude at $22 a barrel, but added that the question
was at what premium.
As yet, talks with them had centered around the hedging
mechanisms, which would later determine the fee Pertamina would
have to pay, he said.
"The fee could range between 10 U.S. cents and $1 a barrel,"
Baihaki explained.
The government is mulling over hedging the selling price of
its crude oil as prices remain weak reflecting the grim outlook
on the global economic front.
Crude oil prices have slumped to below $20 a barrel, buckling
under low demand as the world's economies slide into recession.
Analysts are predicting that oil prices will remain low until
into the first semester of next year.
Baihaki said he preferred hedging Indonesia's crude for that
six-month period.
The 2002 budget assumes an average oil price of $22 a barrel.
Based on an exchange rate of Rp 9,000 to the U.S. dollar and
oil output of 1.3 million barrels per day (bpd), Indonesia is
eying Rp 60 trillion (some $5.75 billion) in oil revenues for
next year.
Currently, Pertamina produces only 1.2 million bpd. But a
weaker than expected rupiah could help mitigate the shortfall in
output or in price.
Baihaki added that Pertamina would only hedge the government's
85 percent share of the country's total oil output.
"We must proceed carefully with the plan, since Indonesia has
never entered the hedging market," Baihaki continued.
He cautioned that Indonesia's crude oil was unknown to players
in the hedging market, meaning they faced a greater risk with
Indonesian crude oil.
The only Indonesian crude oil known to the market was the
Sumatra light or Minas, he explained.
"I think the market is hesitant, as they've never done an
evaluation and don't know the appropriate price," he said.
Baihaki said an alternative to hedging would be to revise the
oil price assumption in the state budget altogether.
"But everyone thinks it's too premature to revise oil prices
downwards. It's better to just wait," he added.
Separately, local oil and gas company PT Medco Energi
Internasional's president John S. Karamoy said hedging became
common when oil prices were falling.
"The higher the price one seeks to hedge against, the more
expensive it will be," he told The Jakarta Post.
According to John, hedging the oil price at $22 a barrel when
prices were as low as $20 was likely to be expensive.
Meanwhile, Baihaki said Pertamina would sign six new oil and
gas contracts by the end of this year, giving a boost to the
country's diminishing oil production.
In addition, the company might also extend two oil and gas
contracts, he said.
He said the four contracts would cover fields in East
Kalimantan, one in Natuna and another one in the Java Sea.
He did not mention the combined value of the contracts nor the
names of the oil and gas companies involved.