Thu, 17 Nov 1994

OPEC to work for oil price of $16-$19

JAKARTA (JP): Ministers of the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) expect to determine a production ceiling aimed at achieving sales prices of between US$16 to $19 a barrel in their 97th meeting in Bali next week.

"The quota for the first quarter of next year will be determined on the basis of the supply and demand conditions, which will be evaluated in next week's meeting," Minister of Mines and Energy I.B. Sudjana told reporters here yesterday.

He said demand for OPEC oil will likely surge from 25.61 million barrels per day (bpd) in the fourth quarter of this year to 26.13 million bpd in the first quarter of next year before falling back to 23.9 million bpd in the second quarter.

The demand is estimated to rise again to 24.52 million bpd in the third quarter and to 26.71 million bpd in the fourth quarter, bringing the average demand for OPEC oil to 25.52 million bpd in 1995, he said.

The average demand for OPEC oil is estimated at 24.87 million bpd in 1994, he added.

When asked whether ministers of OPEC's 12 member countries would seek an increase in the production ceiling from the present level of 24.52 million bpd, Sudjana said: "Please, wait for next week's meeting.

"But the current level of production is ideal," he added.

OPEC groups Algeria, Gabon, Indonesia, Iran, Iraq, Kuwait, Libya, Nigeria, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates and Venezuela.

Iran and Libya reportedly called on fellow OPEC members last week to keep the production ceiling at its current level, saying that this would help stabilize the oil market.

Oil prices have ranged between $16.85 and $17.94 in November.

Sudjana said yesterday that none of the OPEC members has any idea of lowering the production ceiling because such an idea would not benefit the organization.

Secretary-general

He said the three-day Bali meeting will also appoint a new secretary-general to replace Subroto of Indonesia, who ended his second three-year term of office in the middle of this year.

Nigeria is competing against candidates from Venezuela and Iran for the position.

The election of a secretary-general, which must be unanimous under OPEC rules, has been deadlocked since Iran blocked the approval of former Venezuelan oil minister Alirio Parra at the June meeting in favor of its own candidate, Hossein Kazempour- Ardebili.

Sudjana said next week's meeting, the fourth to be held on the tourist island of Bali, has apparently attracted a large number of officials of the member countries.

"We thus far have received confirmation for the participation of 134 delegates from the 12 member countries," he said, adding that Indonesia will provide free accommodation only for ministers, ambassadors and two other delegates from each of the member countries.

Director General for Press and Graphics Subrata said yesterday that about 300 foreign and domestic journalists are expected to cover the meeting. (riz)