Indonesia seeks to improve debt rating
Indonesia seeks to improve debt rating
JAKARTA (JP): The new economics team aims to improve the
country's credit rating from the current non-investment rating to
investment grade within six months, Coordinating Minister for the
Economy Dorodjatun Kuntjoro-Jakti said on Tuesday.
Dorodjatun said that the debt rating upgrade would allow both
the country and its business sectors to tap international funds
at an affordable cost.
"We will immediately seek to improve our image before the
international community," Dorodjatun told reporters at a press
meeting following the first economic ministers' meeting of the
new government.
"If we achieve that, we can return to the international money
market," he said.
International rating agencies had cut the country's debt
rating to non-investment grade due to domestic political problems
and economic woes.
Standard & Poor's has assigned a CCC+ on Indonesia's long term
foreign currency rating, according to Dorodjatun.
He said with a CCC+ rating, Indonesia has been classified as a
non-investment country by the rating agency.
He expected Indonesia's economy and political conditions to
continue to progress sufficiently well within the next five to
six months for a rating of BB.
Last week Dorodjatun said Indonesia's low credit rating made
it difficult to seek affordable funds from the money market.
"Our rating isn't good, the additional interest spread that
shows Indonesia's risk, is still high," he said.
"They (Standard & Poor's) won't disclose the interest spread,
but my guess is that it's well above the American government
bonds, which is a world benchmark," he added.
He said the spread could be as high as 600 to 700 basis
points, where 100 points reflects 1 percent.
"For developing countries the usual spread should be around
300 to 400 basis points, or 3 to 4 percentage points above the
10-year U.S. bonds," he explained.
By Standard & Poor's definition, an insurer rated CCC is
currently vulnerable and is dependent upon favorable business,
financial and economic conditions to meet its financial
commitments.
At BB, the insurer is less vulnerable, but faces major ongoing
uncertainties and exposures to adverse business, financial or
economic conditions.
These could lead to the insurer's incapacity to meet its
financial commitments.
Dorodjatun said that at BB, Indonesia's importers would find
it easier to open a Letter of Credit (L/C) with foreign banks.
"With BB, importers don't have to go to Singapore or Hong Kong
to open L/Cs," he said.
An L/C is a payment guarantee issued by a bank to temporarily
cover the payments of its customer to a foreign bank.
Since the 1997 economic crisis struck the country, many local
banks' L/Cs have been rejected by their foreign counterparts.
But the real benefit of an improved credit rating was the
cheaper foreign funds required to invest in Indonesia.
Economist Faisal Basri said the government would lend the
economy a major boost if it could improve Indonesia's rating.
"If the credit rating improves, foreign investment will
return, debt burden will ease, companies will get back on track
to reschedule their debts," he said.
Faisal said the government could achieve a BB rating within
six months time providing it does all its "homework."
The preparation, he said, was taking the necessary measures to
meet the 2001 state budget deficit target of 3.7 percent of gross
domestic product and drafting the 2002 state budget prior to the
meeting of the Consultative Group on Indonesia (CGI).
CGI groups together Indonesian donor countries to help it
finance its development spending.
Dorodjatun said earlier Indonesia must present to the CGI a
clean and convincing state budget, as a prerequisite for
receiving the group's aid.
The CGI meeting is slated for October and Dorodjatun said he
hoped the meeting would be held in Jakarta.
Securing a lending agreement with the International Monetary
Fund (IMF) was another target the government must meet, Faisal
continued.
Credit rating agencies have cut Indonesia's rating partly on
the IMF's suspension of its loan program to the country late last
year after the previous government failed to implement a number
of major economic reform programs.(bkm/03/tnt)