{
    "success": true,
    "data": {
        "id": 1589527,
        "msgid": "when-will-the-2026-dry-season-begin-bmkgs-forecast-1772694301",
        "date": "2026-03-05 13:16:44",
        "title": "When Will the 2026 Dry Season Begin? BMKG\u2019s Forecast",
        "author": "",
        "source": "DETIK_JOGJA",
        "tags": "",
        "topic": "Agriculture",
        "summary": "BMKG forecasts an earlier start to the 2026 dry season across most of Indonesia, as La Ni\u00f1a weakens and potentially shifts to El Ni\u00f1o by mid-year. The agency estimates that 16.3% of areas will enter the dry season in April, with peak dryness spread across July to September and a majority of zones experiencing drier-than-normal conditions. The forecast calls for proactive measures in agriculture, water resource management, and fire prevention to mitigate potential impacts.",
        "content": "<p>During the first two months of 2026, heavy rainfall was recorded\nacross several regions of Indonesia. The intensity of rainfall even\ntriggered disasters in some areas, such as cold lahar floods in Magelang\nin early March 2026. Citing the official website of the Indonesian\nAgency for Meteorology, Climatology and Geophysics (BMKG), the weather\nin most of Indonesia in March 2026 is predicted to be dominated by light\nto moderate rain. However, parts of Indonesia remain at risk of heavy\nrain, especially in Java, Bali, Nusa Tenggara, and the mountainous\nregions of Papua.<\/p>\n<p>As mid-year approaches, the rainy season will shift to the dry\nseason, characterised by dry winds and the bediding phenomenon. So, when\nwill the 2026 dry season begin? Here is BMKG\u2019s forecast.<\/p>\n<p>Forecast for the 2026 Dry Season According to BMKG<\/p>\n<p>According to BMKG\u2019s official site, the La Ni\u00f1a phenomenon ended in\nFebruary 2026. It has shifted to a neutral phase and potentially towards\nEl Ni\u00f1o by mid-year. This shift triggers an earlier start to the 2026\ndry season across most of Indonesia.<\/p>\n<p>The transition from the Westerly Wind (Asian Monsoon) to the Easterly\nWind (Australian Monsoon) marks the start of the dry season. BMKG\nreports that 114 Season Zones (ZOM) or 16.3% of Indonesia\u2019s area are\nexpected to begin entering the dry season in April 2026, namely the\nnorthern Java coast on the western side, most of Central Java through\nEast Java, NTB, NTT, and parts of Kalimantan and Sulawesi.<\/p>\n<p>BMKG analysis shows that 12.6% of Indonesia\u2019s area is expected to\nexperience the peak of the dry season in July 2026, covering parts of\nSumatra, central and northern Kalimantan. The same applies to parts of\nJava, Nusa Tenggara, Sulawesi, Maluku, and the western part of the\nisland of New Guinea.<\/p>\n<p>Most of Indonesia, covering 429 ZOM or 61.4% of the area, is\npredicted to experience the peak of the dry season in August 2026. This\nwill dominate central and southern Sumatra, Central Java through East\nJava, most of Kalimantan and Sulawesi, all of Bali and Nusa Tenggara,\nand parts of Maluku and Western Papua.<\/p>\n<p>14.3% of the area will experience the peak of the dry season in\nSeptember 2026. This is expected in parts of Lampung, parts of Java, and\nmost of NTT.<\/p>\n<p>The 2026 dry season, in general, is projected to be below normal or\ndrier than usual in 451 ZOM (64.5% of the area) and normal in 245 ZOM\n(35.1%). Meanwhile, 3 ZOM (0.4%) in Gorontalo and Southeast Sulawesi may\nexperience above-normal or wetter-than-normal dry season. This condition\nmeans the duration of the dry season in 57.2% of Indonesia is expected\nto be longer.<\/p>\n<p>Preparations for facing a long dry season<\/p>\n<p>In response to the forecast for the 2026 dry season, BMKG emphasises\nthe importance of precautionary steps by the government and all segments\nof society. Farmers, for example, should adjust planting schedules and\nchoose crop varieties that are more water-efficient, drought-tolerant,\nand have faster harvest cycles.<\/p>\n<p>Water resource management also needs strengthening through\nrevitalisation of reservoirs and improvement of distribution networks to\nensure access to clean water during the dry season. There is also\npotential for forest and land fires (karhutla) during the dry season, so\nthe government needs to prepare rapid response mechanisms to prevent\nthese disasters.<\/p>\n<p>Summarised from the Universitas Muhammadiyah Surakarta\u2019s site, there\nare several steps individuals can take to face the dry season as\nfollows:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><p>Use water wisely.<\/p><\/li>\n<li><p>Protect vegetation in the surrounding environment.<\/p><\/li>\n<li><p>Support climate mitigation efforts by the government or other\nagencies.<\/p><\/li>\n<li><p>Monitor the latest climate and weather information from BMKG and\nother trusted sources.<\/p><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>Thus the explanation about the estimated start of the 2026 dry season\nin Indonesia. Hopeful.<\/p>",
        "url": "https:\/\/jawawa.id\/newsitem\/when-will-the-2026-dry-season-begin-bmkgs-forecast-1772694301",
        "image": ""
    },
    "sponsor": "Okusi Associates",
    "sponsor_url": "https:\/\/okusiassociates.com"
}