{
    "success": true,
    "data": {
        "id": 1632520,
        "msgid": "warning-stock-exchange-opens-tomorrow-ihsg-surrounded-by-us-data-and-escalating-war-1774349509",
        "date": "2026-03-24 17:00:06",
        "title": "Warning! Stock Exchange Opens Tomorrow, IHSG Surrounded by US Data and Escalating War",
        "author": "",
        "source": "CNBC",
        "tags": "",
        "topic": "Finance",
        "summary": "The Indonesian stock market is set to reopen on Wednesday amid a shortened trading week following public holidays, with investors closely monitoring key global and domestic indicators including US consumer sentiment, import-export prices, unemployment claims, and the escalating Iran-Israel-US conflict that threatens global energy supplies. Developments in the ongoing war, including Iran's missile strikes and US President Trump's delayed attacks on Iranian infrastructure, have caused volatility in oil prices and US stock markets, potentially impacting the rupiah, commodities, and IHSG. Domestically, Bank Indonesia's upcoming money supply data will provide insights into liquidity trends, while weakening US consumer confidence signals broader economic pressures from energy costs and geopolitical uncertainty.",
        "content": "<p>The Indonesian stock exchange will reopen tomorrow, Wednesday\n(25\/3\/2026). Market participants will once again scrutinise several\nimportant sentiments for the remainder of this week\u2019s trading, after the\ndomestic financial markets were closed on Monday and Tuesday, 23-24\nMarch 2026, for joint leave and post-Eid holidays. Although this week is\nshorter, investor attention remains focused on various key global and\ndomestic agendas. These range from developments in circulating money, US\nconsumer sentiment data, the release of US import and export prices, to\ninitial US unemployment claims, which will provide the latest picture of\nlabour market conditions in Uncle Sam\u2019s country. This series of\nsentiments is expected to act as catalysts driving the market, from\nstocks and the rupiah exchange rate to commodity prices throughout this\nweek\u2019s trading. War Developments The war between Iran and Israel and the\nUS remains heated. The intensification of the war will have a\nsignificant impact on Indonesian stock movements. Quoted from Reuters,\nIran launched several waves of missile attacks on Israel, according to\nthe Israeli military, after US President Donald Trump postponed plans to\nbomb Iranian power plants and energy infrastructure due to what he\ncalled productive talks with Iranian officials. Those missiles triggered\nair raid sirens in several areas of Israel, including Tel Aviv, where\nexplosions from the interception system were heard. In one attack, homes\nin northern Israel were damaged by falling debris after a missile was\nsuccessfully intercepted. There were no reports of casualties. Trump\nwrote on the Truth Social platform on Monday that the US and Iran had\nheld \u201cvery good and productive\u201d talks regarding a \u201cfull and total\nresolution of hostilities in the Middle East.\u201d As a result, Trump said\nhe was postponing for five days the plan to attack Iran\u2019s power plants,\nwhich he had previously threatened if Iran did not reopen the Strait of\nHormuz. However, this postponement only applies to Iranian energy\nfacilities, while US attacks on the country continue, according to a\nreport by US media Semafor citing a US official. Iran has effectively\nclosed that vital strait\u2014a route for around 20% of the world\u2019s oil and\nliquefied natural gas (LNG)\u2014since the US and Israel launched the war on\n28 February. More than 2,000 people have died in the conflict. Iran\nresponded to the threat by stating it would attack US allies\u2019\ninfrastructure in the Middle East, increasing the risk of extreme\ndisruptions to global energy supplies. Trump\u2019s step back briefly drove\nup US stock prices and a sharp drop in oil prices below US$100 per\nbarrel, reversing market pressures from weekend threats and Iran\u2019s\npromise of retaliation. However, that rise was threatened on Tuesday\nafter Iran\u2019s Parliament Speaker Mohammad Baqer Qalibaf\u2014who was cited as\nan intermediary in the talks by Israeli officials and other sources\u2014said\nno negotiations had taken place. \u201cThere are no negotiations with the US,\nand fake news is being used to manipulate financial and oil markets and\nescape the difficult situation faced by the US and Israel,\u201d he wrote on\nthe X platform. Iran\u2019s Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) stated they had\nlaunched new attacks on US targets, and called Trump\u2019s statements an\n\u201coutdated psychological operation\u201d that has no effect on Tehran\u2019s\nstruggle. On Tuesday, US bond yields rose and the dollar strengthened\nagain, as the world still faces energy shocks due to Iran\u2019s threats to\nshipping routes in the strait. Circulating Money From domestically,\nmarket participants will await the release of circulating money\ndevelopments scheduled to be announced by Bank Indonesia on Friday\n(27\/3\/2026). This data is important to gauge liquidity conditions in the\neconomy, especially after the previous period showed fairly high growth.\nIn the latest release, Bank Indonesia reported that broad money supply\n(M2) in January 2026 grew 10.0% year-on-year, higher than the 9.6%\nyear-on-year growth in December 2025. The M2 value in January 2026\nreached Rp10,117.8 trillion, with growth supported by narrow money (M1)\nrising 14.9% and quasi-money growing 5.4%. Therefore, the February 2026\nrelease will be monitored to see if liquidity growth continues, slows,\nor strengthens further. The direction of circulating money is also\nusually watched by the market as it can provide an early indication of\ndomestic demand, credit conditions, and room for future economic\nactivity. US Consumer Confidence From the United States, the market will\nawait the final release of the March consumer sentiment index from the\nUniversity of Michigan on Friday US time. The institution has scheduled\nthe final March 2026 release for Friday, 27 March 2026, at 10:00 a.m.\nlocal time. In the preliminary reading, the consumer sentiment index\nfell to 55.5 in March 2026 from 56.6 in February. This decline indicates\nthat US households are becoming more cautious, amid growing concerns\nabout economic conditions and energy price pressures. The Michigan\npreliminary survey also showed weakening mainly in the expectations\ncomponent, which fell to 54.1 from 56.6. This week\u2019s final data will be\nof interest because it can signal how much the surge in petrol prices\nand global uncertainty are pressuring US consumer confidence. If\nconsumer sentiment weakens further, the market may assess that American\nhousehold spending resilience is beginning to face greater pressures. US\nImport-Export Prices Signal Inflation Pressure Another sentiment to be\nmonitored comes from US import and export price data for February 2026,\nscheduled for release on Wednesday (25\/3\/2026) at 08:30 US time. This\nwill be announced by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS). As a\ncomparison, in the previous release<\/p>",
        "url": "https:\/\/jawawa.id\/newsitem\/warning-stock-exchange-opens-tomorrow-ihsg-surrounded-by-us-data-and-escalating-war-1774349509",
        "image": ""
    },
    "sponsor": "Okusi Associates",
    "sponsor_url": "https:\/\/okusiassociates.com"
}