{
    "success": true,
    "data": {
        "id": 1750309,
        "msgid": "us-iran-war-triggers-rift-within-saudi-arabia-and-the-israel-uae-alliance-1779546027",
        "date": "2026-05-19 23:10:00",
        "title": "US\u2013Iran War Triggers Rift Within Saudi Arabia and the Israel\u2013UAE Alliance",
        "author": "Wisnu Arto Subari",
        "source": "MEDIA_INDONESIA",
        "tags": "",
        "topic": "Politics",
        "summary": "The Gulf region is being realigned as the US\u2013Iran confrontation deepens, straining GCC unity and widening the rift between Saudi Arabia and the UAE bloc seen as closer to Israel. Riyadh is pursuing a regional bloc while the UAE leans further towards Israel, with analysts warning of a regional parallel to Thucydides\u2019 Trap but doubtful of a Qatar-style boycott; leaders stress dialogue to prevent strategic missteps amid a volatile security landscape.",
        "content": "<p>Escalation of the conflict involving the United States, Israel, and\nIran is beginning to redraw the Gulf\u2019s geopolitics. The tensions\nthreaten regional stability and are starting to tear at the cohesion of\nthe Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC), particularly between its two main\npowers: Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates. Although Riyadh and\nAbu Dhabi remain committed to their long-term partnership, the UAE\u2019s\nincreasing closeness with Israel has become a subject of serious debate.\nThe recent secret visit by Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu to\nthe UAE to meet President Sheikh Mohammed bin Zayed\u2014confirmed by Israel\nbut denied by the UAE\u2014has further fuelled speculation about the depth of\nthis new alliance. Nawaf Obaid, a fellow at King\u2019s College London and\nformer Saudi royal adviser, called this dynamic a regional version of\nThucydides Trap. \u201cIt resembles a rising power (the Emirate) seeking to\nextend its influence over the established dominant power (Saudi\nArabia),\u201d he told Newsweek. However, Obaid stressed that Saudi Arabia\u2019s\nposition as the pivot of the Arab world is not easily unsettled.\nGeographical scale, population, financial depth, military capacity, and\nreligious legitimacy as custodian of the two holy mosques (Mecca and\nMedina) are structural realities that cannot be replicated by a small\ncountry like the Emirates. An Emirati push for strategic autonomy is\nevident in several bold steps that have surprised global markets: In\nresponse to these shifts, Saudi Arabia has not stood still. Riyadh has\nstarted broadening its diplomatic and military contacts by forming an\ninformal bloc called the Quartet, involving Egypt, Turkey, and Pakistan.\nPakistan, as the only nuclear-armed Islamic state, even signed a defence\npact with Riyadh last September. For Riyadh, Israel is seen as a\nregional disruptor that fuels instability in Lebanon, Syria, and even\nQatar. This creates a clear gap with the UAE, which is doubling down on\nits connection with Israel as a shield against Iran. Despite sharp\ndifferences, analysts see a total boycott like Qatar in 2017 as\nunlikely. Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman and Sheikh Mohammed bin Zayed\ncontinue to keep channels open to prevent costly miscalculations,\nespecially after a drone attack on the Barakah nuclear plants in the\nUAE. The war against Iran has forced Gulf states to choose their own\nsecurity paths, ultimately creating a geopolitical landscape that is\nmore fluid, ad hoc, and uncertain going forward.<\/p>",
        "url": "https:\/\/jawawa.id\/newsitem\/us-iran-war-triggers-rift-within-saudi-arabia-and-the-israel-uae-alliance-1779546027",
        "image": ""
    },
    "sponsor": "Okusi Associates",
    "sponsor_url": "https:\/\/okusiassociates.com"
}