The United Nations (UN) has issued a serious warning that global\naverage temperatures are likely to remain at or near record levels over\nthe next five years. This warming trend is predicted to produce a new\nhottest year in history before 2031.<\/p>\n
The World Meteorological Organization (WMO) stated there is an 86%\nchance that at least one year between 2026 and 2030 will surpass 2024 as\nthe hottest on record. Additionally, there is a 75% probability that the\nfive-year average temperature during this period will exceed the\ncritical threshold of 1.5 degrees Celsius above pre-industrial levels\n(1850-1900).<\/p>\n
Leon Hermanson, lead author of the WMO\u2019s Global Annual-to-Decadal\nUpdate report, highlighted the role of the El Ni\u00f1o phenomenon, which is\npredicted to re-emerge by late 2026. \u201cThis condition increases the\nlikelihood of 2027 becoming the next record-breaking year,\u201d he said.<\/p>\n
Notably, the previous El Ni\u00f1o contributed to 2024 being the hottest\nyear on record, with temperatures around 1.55 degrees Celsius above the\npre-industrial average. Despite the 2015 Paris Agreement targeting\nlong-term global warming to stay below 1.5\u00b0C (over a 20-year average),\nthe increasing frequency of annual breaches of this threshold\nunderscores an urgent situation.<\/p>\n
The report also issued a specific warning for the Arctic region,\npredicting temperatures in the northern polar region to surge by 2.8\ndegrees Celsius above the 1991-2020 average over the next five\nwinters\u2014more than triple the global anomaly.<\/p>\n
Bill Hare, CEO of Climate Analytics, stressed that these extreme\ntemperature projections are a direct consequence of countries\u2019 failure\nto significantly reduce greenhouse gas emissions. \u201cOur research shows\nthat if governments act now to cut emissions as rapidly as possible,\nglobal warming can be halted by mid-century,\u201d he stated.<\/p>\n
Alongside rising temperatures, global rainfall patterns are expected\nto experience anomalies. The Sahel, northern Europe, Alaska, and Siberia\nare projected to become wetter, while the Amazon region is forecast to\nface drier conditions (drought anomalies) between 2026 and 2030.<\/p>\n
This warning comes as much of Western Europe is currently\nexperiencing a record-breaking heat dome, with May temperature records\nshattered in the UK and France, and heatwave alerts issued in major\nItalian cities.<\/p>\n
The WMO reported that global CO2 levels reached a record high in\n2024, accelerating global warming and threatening the world\u2019s climate\nbalance.<\/p>\n
Recent studies warn that global warming is forcing rice-growing\nregions to confront temperatures beyond their evolutionary\nadaptability.<\/p>\n
Increasing global infectious diseases are influenced by multiple\nfactors, including climate change which heightens the risk of certain\nillnesses.<\/p>\n
A Pan-European Commission has urged the World Health Organization to\ndeclare climate change a global health emergency to accelerate\ngovernment mitigation and adaptation efforts.<\/p>", "url": "https:\/\/jawawa.id\/newsitem\/un-global-temperatures-to-hit-new-record-highs-in-2026-2030-1780006259", "image": "" }, "sponsor": "Okusi Associates", "sponsor_url": "https:\/\/okusiassociates.com" }