The war involving the United States (US) and Israel against Iran is\nnot truly over. Although its intensity has subsided, its impacts are\nalready widespread, not only in the Middle East but also on the global\norder.<\/p>\n
Political scientist Georgy Asatryan describes this conflict as a\nturning point that accelerates the world\u2019s shift from a unipolar to a\nmultipolar system.<\/p>\n
\u201cTehran\u2019s resistance is accelerating the inevitable shift towards\nmultipolarity,\u201d he writes, as quoted by RT on Thursday (16\/4\/2026).<\/p>\n
He assesses that the military steps taken by Washington are actually\ncontributing to weakening the global system that the US itself has\nbuilt. The initial hope that Iran would quickly collapse under military\npressure did not materialise.<\/p>\n
On the contrary, Iran has shown significant resilience. Despite\nsuffering major losses, including in its leadership ranks, Tehran has\nbeen able to adapt, absorb the initial pressure, and begin shaping the\nconflict according to its own interests.<\/p>\n
\u201cTehran did not surrender. They absorbed the initial blows and began\nshaping the conflict according to their interests,\u201d Asatryan explains.\nIndeed, Iran\u2019s Revolutionary Guard Corps is assessed as capable of\nchallenging US military operational dominance in several sectors.<\/p>\n
The impact of this conflict extends far beyond the battlefield. One\nof the most crucial developments is the blockade of the Strait of\nHormuz, a vital route for global energy distribution.<\/p>\n
This move forces major countries to face direct risks in the form of\nsupply disruptions and rising energy prices. Several countries have\nreacted swiftly, including India, which has held emergency discussions\non national energy security.<\/p>\n
According to Asatryan, Iran\u2019s strategy has successfully expanded the\nconflict\u2019s pressure beyond the region. In the long term, this situation\nis seen as pushing the world into a phase of more intense\nmilitarisation. Countries are now increasingly bold in acting\nunilaterally, with military power more frequently used as a policy\ninstrument.<\/p>\n
\u201cThe result is a more turbulent world, where military power becomes a\nroutine policy instrument,\u201d he writes. He also highlights the fading of\nthe deterrence concept that previously formed the foundation of global\nstability, replaced by growing impunity among countries.<\/p>\n
Tensions are now spreading to various regions. The\nAfghanistan-Pakistan border is experiencing increased clashes and\ncross-border attacks, while rivalry between India and Pakistan is\nheating up again. With both countries possessing nuclear weapons, even\nlimited conflicts are seen as carrying global implications.<\/p>\n
\u201cEven limited conflicts in this region carry global implications,\u201d he\nstates.<\/p>\n
Beyond that, several other areas from South Asia to the Caribbean are\nbeginning to show signs of new tensions. This phenomenon is viewed as\npart of a broader pattern, where the weakening of global rules opens\ngreater space for conflict escalation.<\/p>\n
Asatryan assesses that the world is now moving towards fragmentation,\nwith increasingly fragile alliances and rules that are losing their\nbinding power. The Hormuz blockade, Iran\u2019s resilience, and the US\u2019s\nfailure to achieve a quick victory serve as indicators of changing\nglobal power balances.<\/p>\n
\u201cEven middle-tier countries can now challenge great powers and force\nthem into strategic stalemates,\u201d he says.<\/p>\n
He warns that the most dangerous lesson from this conflict is the\nemergence of the belief that military power can be used without major\nconsequences. As this view spreads, the risk of new conflicts\nincreases.<\/p>\n
\u201cThe next conflict is no longer a question of whether it will happen,\nbut where,\u201d he concludes. According to him, in an increasingly uncertain\nglobal situation, new escalations are assessed as potentially emerging\nfaster than expected.<\/p>", "url": "https:\/\/jawawa.id\/newsitem\/the-world-is-getting-more-chaotic-new-conflicts-looming-this-could-be-the-outcome-1776354650", "image": "" }, "sponsor": "Okusi Associates", "sponsor_url": "https:\/\/okusiassociates.com" }