Jakarta, CNBC Indonesia \u2013 The global mango market is growing, but\nIndonesia has yet to make the most of it. The country produces millions\nof tonnes of mangoes a year, but a large harvest does not automatically\nguarantee a strong position in international trade.<\/p>\n
With the global mango market projected to reach US$70.6 billion, or\nRp1,283.17 trillion (US$1 = Rp18,175), by 2031, the challenge is to turn\nproduction capacity into greater economic value.<\/p>\n
Mordor Intelligence estimates the market will grow at a compound\nannual growth rate (CAGR) of 3.87% between 2026 and 2031.<\/p>\n
Demand from retail and food services, increased production supported\nby subsidies for land expansion in India, Mexico and Kenya, and\ncontrolled-atmosphere shipping technology that reduces post-harvest\nlosses are driving market growth.<\/p>\n
Rising household incomes in Asia-Pacific, the growth of plant-based\nbeverage markets in North America and Europe, and digital platforms that\nreduce intermediary margins are also creating new business\nopportunities.<\/p>\n
Technological advances are also lowering sea-freight costs and\nextending market reach without compromising fruit quality.<\/p>\n
Prices nevertheless remain subject to seasonal fluctuations. Prices\nfor Brazilian mangoes have weakened, while those for Peruvian mangoes\nhave risen because supplies are tighter.<\/p>\n
Diversifying supplier countries helps traders manage risk, while\ndemand from high-income Gulf states and China\u2019s off-season purchases of\nmangoes from Vietnam are supporting global demand.<\/p>\n
India leads production, Indonesia among the top\nproducers<\/strong><\/p>\n FAOSTAT data for 2024 puts India first among producers of mangoes,\nguavas and mangosteens, with output of 27.77 million tonnes. Indonesia\nranked second with 4.14 million tonnes, followed by China with 4.08\nmillion tonnes.<\/p>\n India\u2019s significant output is also evident in data specifically\ncovering mangoes.<\/p>\n Government data from India compiled by IndianAgri recorded the\ncountry\u2019s mango production at 23.1 million tonnes in the 2024\u20132025\nmarketing year, up 3.3% from 22.4 million tonnes in the previous\nperiod.<\/p>\n In a 2013 publication, India\u2019s Ministry of Agriculture and Farmers\nWelfare recorded mango production of 10.99 million tonnes from an area\nof 1.23 million hectares.<\/p>\n The same publication said India had exported fresh mangoes to a\nnumber of markets, including the United Arab Emirates, Bangladesh, the\nUnited Kingdom, Saudi Arabia and Nepal, according to trade records for\n2011\u20132012.<\/p>\n Meanwhile, Statistics Indonesia (BPS) data shows that Indonesia\nproduced 3.01 million tonnes of mangoes in 2025, down about 8.9% from\n3.30 million tonnes in 2024.<\/p>\n National production had previously risen from 2.84 million tonnes in\n2021 to 3.31 million tonnes in 2022. It then remained relatively stable\nin 2023 and 2024 before declining in 2025. Although output remains\nhigher than in 2021, the annual drop shows that domestic production does\nnot always rise.<\/p>\n Global market forecast to grow, with Indonesia also on the\nrise<\/strong><\/p>\n A February 2026 report by the Market Intelligence Cell for India\u2019s\nAgricultural and Processed Food Products Export Development Authority\n(APEDA) put Indonesia\u2019s export price at US$2,583 per tonne, or about\nRp46.94 million (US$1 = Rp18,175), in February 2026, up 9% from US$2,380\nper tonne in February 2025.<\/p>\n The report forecasts prices for March to May 2026 and categorises the\noutlook for Indonesia as bullish, or tending to strengthen.<\/p>\n APEDA linked the outlook, among other factors, to Indonesia\u2019s efforts\nto expand access for tropical fruit in Canada through the\nIndonesia-Canada Comprehensive Economic Partnership Agreement\n(ICA-CEPA).<\/p>\n The ICA-CEPA is projected to increase Indonesian exports to Canada to\nas much as US$11.8 billion by 2030 and boost Indonesia\u2019s GDP growth by\n0.12%.<\/p>\n The agreement covers trade in goods and services, investment, legal\ncertainty, regulatory transparency and sustainable trade. It also\nfocuses on several strategic sectors, including downstream processing of\ncritical minerals, clean energy, agri-food and fisheries.<\/p>\n Market expansion and diversification of export destinations are seen\nas potentially supporting prices, although seasonal export volumes are\nexpected to remain moderate.<\/p>\n The projections point to an economic opportunity that is still\ndeveloping. However, the size of the global market does not in itself\nindicate the value of global exports or the income received by producing\ncountries.<\/p>\n For Indonesia, the opportunity must be considered alongside its\nability to maintain supply, meet quality standards and reach\ninternational markets.<\/p>",
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