Former Indonesian President Susilo Bambang Yudhoyono (SBY) has\nhighlighted the ongoing negotiations between the United States and Iran,\nnoting that many nations, particularly those in the Middle East, are\nawaiting the outcome.<\/p>\n
SBY acknowledged that the negotiation process, especially concerning\nIran\u2019s nuclear programme, is extraordinarily complex and that finding an\nacceptable solution for both sides is not straightforward. The\nfundamental interests of the two countries differ significantly.\nAccording to SBY, whilst negotiations proceed, two nations in the Middle\nEast stand poised for war.<\/p>\n
\u201cThe negotiators must also be astute in comprehending the thinking of\nboth leaders who have mandated them, President Trump and Ayatollah\nKhamenei. Creating \u2018harmony\u2019 between the negotiators and their superiors\nmay likewise be exceedingly difficult,\u201d SBY wrote via his personal X\naccount @SBYudhoyono<\/span> on Friday, 27 February.<\/p>\n With knowledge and experience in conflict resolution at both national\nand international levels, SBY acknowledged that negotiation is\nexhausting work.<\/p>\n \u201cIt requires patience, intelligence, and perseverance. A readiness to\ncompromise and willingness for \u2018give and take\u2019. The aims and objectives\noutlined by both national leaders must also be thoroughly understood,\u201d\nSBY added.<\/p>\n Regarding the US-Iran negotiations specifically, SBY observed that\nboth leaders, Donald Trump and Ali Khamenei, possess distinctive\ncharacteristics. Both possess considerable ego, ambition, and personal\ninterests.<\/p>\n \u201cTrump fears that if negotiations fail, his reputation and the\nglorious \u2018legacy\u2019 he seeks to achieve could crumble. Ali Khamenei also\nfears that if this contentious dispute with America goes badly, it could\nresult in regime change and \u2018he must go\u2019. This constitutes a \u2018survival\ninterest\u2019 for Iran\u2019s leader,\u201d SBY stated.<\/p>\n According to SBY, many predict that if these negotiations fail, a\nmajor war will soon erupt. The conditions are ripe; it merely awaits\norders from Trump and Khamenei.<\/p>\n \u201cIn my view, whether such seemingly inevitable war will occur is\nuncertain. Especially if the generals on both sides continue to guide\ntheir leaders\u2019 decision-making,\u201d SBY said.<\/p>\n Trump and Khamenei, SBY argued, will not rashly order their forces to\nwar. The risks and costs of an erroneous decision are too high.<\/p>\n Notes for a Commander-in-Chief<\/p>\n SBY provided important guidance for any commander-in-chief\nconsidering military action to protect national interests.<\/p>\n First, SBY posed the critical question: whether war must be\nundertaken or whether alternatives exist? This distinction between \u201cwar\nof necessity\u201d and \u201cwar of choice\u201d is fundamental. Ultimately, according\nto the chairman of the Democratic Party, both sides will determine\nwhether to pursue war or another course.<\/p>\n Second, a nation should only undertake war when rational calculation\nguarantees victory is achievable. Both Trump and Khamenei, SBY argued,\nmust convince themselves through logic and sound judgment that chosen\nwar can indeed be won.<\/p>\n \u201cBecause war concerns the fate and future of the people they lead,\nwho have granted them their mandate and trust\u2014their voices must be\nheard. The counsel and advice of generals and senior military figures\nmust also be heeded, not buried beneath the excessive ego of the\nleader,\u201d SBY said.<\/p>\n For America, which has repeatedly threatened to destroy Iran\n(although Iran has recently reciprocated with threats), SBY urged deep\nreflection before choosing war.<\/p>\n \u201cI mean, perhaps for America, winning the war is difficult to\nachieve, and \u2018exit\u2019 or ending the war is likewise not easily\naccomplished. Recall the bitter experience when waging war in Vietnam,\nIraq and Afghanistan. Remember, Iran is Iran. Iran is neither Iraq nor\nAfghanistan,\u201d SBY said.<\/p>\n Finally, SBY conveyed a message from an Indonesian citizen and\ncitizen of the world through this medium. This message is directed not\nonly at President Trump and Ayatollah Khamenei, but to all political\nleaders worldwide who possess the power to initiate war.<\/p>",
"url": "https:\/\/jawawa.id\/newsitem\/sbys-message-to-trump-and-khamenei-regarding-potential-us-iran-war-1772204514",
"image": ""
},
"sponsor": "Okusi Associates",
"sponsor_url": "https:\/\/okusiassociates.com"
}