{
    "success": true,
    "data": {
        "id": 1698373,
        "msgid": "iran-ceasefire-extended-what-are-the-next-steps-1777045926",
        "date": "2026-04-24 15:07:29",
        "title": "Iran Ceasefire Extended, What Are the Next Steps?",
        "author": "",
        "source": "DETIK",
        "tags": "",
        "topic": "Politics",
        "summary": "US President Donald Trump has extended the ceasefire with Iran indefinitely after an initial 14-day period failed to yield results, postponing any attacks until Iran submits a new proposal to end the conflict, while maintaining a naval blockade on Iranian ports. Key sticking points include Iran's nuclear programme, where the US demands a 20-year halt to uranium enrichment compared to Iran's five-year offer, and freedom of navigation in the Strait of Hormuz, amid ongoing tensions and differing demands from both sides. Domestic pressures in the US, upcoming midterm elections, and Israel's involvement add complexity, with potential scenarios ranging from renewed negotiations to escalated military confrontation.",
        "content": "<p>US President Donald Trump issued another ultimatum to Iran in early\nApril to pressure it into taking steps in the ongoing conflict. However,\nas the deadline approached, Trump announced a 14-day ceasefire instead.\nAfter that period ended without results, the agreement was extended\nagain. In the latest extension, no final deadline was set. Trump stated\nthat the US would delay attacks on Iran until the country submits a new\nproposal to end the conflict. He described the process as being resolved\n\u201cone way or another.\u201d Meanwhile, the US Navy continues its blockade of\nIranian ports. Three scenarios: which one will occur? The 14-day\nceasefire did allow for the first direct negotiations between the US and\nIran in nearly a decade. However, a lack of trust on both sides has so\nfar prevented the start of the next round of talks. On several\noccasions, prospects emerged for a new meeting in Islamabad mediated by\nPakistan. However, those plans were postponed or completely cancelled.\nThe US insists on a 15-point plan, while Iran has its own 10 demands.\nNevertheless, both sides are unlikely to want to maintain the current\nuncertain situation for long. Therefore, there are two other completely\ndifferent scenarios that could occur. Both sides could return to\nnegotiations, narrow their positional differences, and ultimately reach\na peace agreement. Or, the tone of relations could continue to\ndeteriorate, and the tense military situation in the Strait of Hormuz\ncould intensify, potentially reigniting fighting. What are the main\ndifferences between the US and Iran? Of the US\u2019s 15 demands, two are\nconsidered the most important: Iran must halt its nuclear programme and\nensure freedom of navigation in the Strait of Hormuz. On the nuclear\nissue, Trump does not want to return to the nuclear deal negotiated by\nhis predecessor, Barack Obama. Trump unilaterally withdrew from that\ndeal in 2018 and reimposed previously lifted sanctions, citing the\ndesire for a \u201cbetter deal.\u201d US media reported that the latest\nnegotiations are primarily stalled on the timeframe issue. Iran is said\nto be willing to halt its nuclear programme for five years, while the US\ndemands at least 20 years without uranium enrichment. Differences also\narise regarding the monitoring mechanism and the fate of Iran\u2019s existing\nuranium stockpile. The second major issue arose since the war began on\n28 February. In response to attacks by the US and Israel, Iran halted\ncivilian shipping in the Strait of Hormuz, a vital global trade route.\nAfter seeing the effectiveness of that blockade, Iran then proposed\nimplementing some form of tariff or levy. This tariff imposition is seen\nas economically beneficial for Iran. As the world begins to experience\nshortages of fuel and other commodities, this move also gives Iran\nsignificant bargaining power. Even after the ceasefire extension, Iran\nannounced that its Revolutionary Guard attacked three cargo ships in the\nstrait. The US completely rejects that blockade. In mid-April, Trump\nimposed a counter-blockade on ships entering or leaving Iranian ports.\nAs a result, Iran is currently cut off from vital trade routes for its\neconomy. To return to free navigation as before the war, an\ninternational naval mission is needed so that shipping companies no\nlonger worry about the safety of their ships and crews in the Strait of\nHormuz. Other factors influencing the dynamics This war has impacted US\nPresident Donald Trump\u2019s domestic position. Some MAGA movement\nsupporters are starting to distance themselves because he is seen as\nbreaking his promise not to lead the US into long and costly foreign\nmilitary operations. The economic impact of the blockade is also\nbeginning to be felt domestically, not just in fuel prices. In this\nsituation, Trump may choose not to issue a new ultimatum to avoid being\nin a position where he must take further military action. In the next\nsix months, the US will face midterm elections that will determine the\ncomposition of Congress. If the Republicans lose their majority to the\nDemocrats, the consequences for Trump will be significant. This adds\npressure on him, on one hand to avoid getting bogged down in a prolonged\nwar, and on the other to achieve favourable results. In Iran, the\ngovernment under the new Supreme Leader, Mojtaba Khamenei, is likely not\nunder the same time pressure, although the US blockade still impacts the\ncountry\u2019s economy. However, this does not fully apply to the\nRevolutionary Guard, which experts describe as a state within a state,\nand whose influence has grown due to the conflict. This group is seen as\nmore focused on power than de-escalation. Another important factor is\nIsrael\u2019s involvement since the start of the conflict. The Israeli\ngovernment\u2019s war aims under Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu are not\nentirely aligned with those of the US. Israel is within range of Iranian\nrockets, so its security interests are fundamental. In addition to\nairstrikes on Iran, the conflict between Israel and Hezbollah in Lebanon\nhas intensified again. In the first few days of the US-Iran ceasefire,\nIsrael continued major attacks on Hezbollah. A Trump-mediated ceasefire\ncurrently applies between Israel and Lebanon. The calculation is that if\nthese two countries, which have been officially at war since 1948, can\nnormalise relations, and if Lebanon succeeds in disarming Hezbollah,\nthis will enhance Israel\u2019s security. However, such an outcome is not\ncertain, and the process i<\/p>",
        "url": "https:\/\/jawawa.id\/newsitem\/iran-ceasefire-extended-what-are-the-next-steps-1777045926",
        "image": ""
    },
    "sponsor": "Okusi Associates",
    "sponsor_url": "https:\/\/okusiassociates.com"
}