{
    "success": true,
    "data": {
        "id": 1581592,
        "msgid": "ihsg-projection-this-week-amid-middle-east-conflict-1772459923",
        "date": "2026-03-02 17:44:13",
        "title": "IHSG Projection This Week Amid Middle East Conflict",
        "author": "",
        "source": "TEMPO_ID_BISNIS",
        "tags": "",
        "topic": "Finance",
        "summary": "PT Indo Premier Sekuritas analyst projects the Indonesian stock index (IHSG) will trade between support level of 8,031 and resistance of 8,437 this week, influenced by escalating geopolitical risks in the Middle East and South Asia alongside domestic fiscal sentiment. Rising energy prices from the Iran-Israel conflict could benefit Indonesia's coal and energy export sectors, though a sharp and prolonged spike risks inflation, rupiah pressure, and capital outflows to emerging markets.",
        "content": "<p>Equity analyst at PT Indo Premier Sekuritas (IPOT) Imam Gunadi\nprojects the Indonesian Composite Index (IHSG) will trade within the\nsupport level of 8,031 and resistance of 8,437 this week. He states that\nIHSG movement is influenced by rising global geopolitical risks and\ndomestic fiscal sentiment.<\/p>\n<p>Imam noted that the escalation of the Iran\u2013Israel conflict and\ntensions in the South Asia region are increasing global risk premiums,\nparticularly with developments surrounding the Strait of Hormuz, a vital\nglobal energy distribution route.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cThis uncertainty has the potential to drive US dollar strengthening\nand rising energy commodity prices, which typically trigger fund\nrotation towards safe-haven assets and suppress capital flows to\nemerging markets, including Indonesia,\u201d he said in a written statement\non Monday, 2 March 2026.<\/p>\n<p>Nevertheless, Imam assessed that increases in crude oil and coal\nprices could actually support movement in energy and mining sector\nshares. He explained that Indonesia, as an exporter of coal and various\nenergy commodities, stands to potentially benefit from increased average\nselling prices and potential margin improvements for related sector\nissuers.<\/p>\n<p>On the other hand, should conflict escalation cause excessively sharp\nand prolonged energy price spikes, risks of global inflation and rupiah\ndepreciation pressures could increase. \u201cSignificant crude oil price\nincreases have the potential to worsen pressure on the current account\nbalance through rising energy import values, whilst also heightening\nrupiah volatility,\u201d said Imam.<\/p>\n<p>Therefore, according to Imam, the IHSG\u2019s short-term direction is\nhighly dependent on whether energy price increases remain controlled and\nsupportive for commodity issuers, or instead transform into an inflation\nshock that undermines macroeconomic stability.<\/p>",
        "url": "https:\/\/jawawa.id\/newsitem\/ihsg-projection-this-week-amid-middle-east-conflict-1772459923",
        "image": ""
    },
    "sponsor": "Okusi Associates",
    "sponsor_url": "https:\/\/okusiassociates.com"
}