Jakarta, CNBC Indonesia - The World Meteorological Organization (WMO)\nhas warned that the El Ni\u00f1o climate phenomenon will return this summer\nwith a certainty level of 80%. Its presence is expected to worsen\nextreme weather in various parts of the world, ranging from heatwaves,\nextreme droughts, to floods.<\/p>\n
In its latest forecast, the WMO stated that El Ni\u00f1o is likely to be\nof moderate to strong intensity and has a 90% chance of lasting at least\nuntil November 2026.<\/p>\n
\u201cThe world must treat this as an urgent climate warning. El Ni\u00f1o\nconditions will pour fuel onto the fire of the already warming world,\u201d\nsaid UN Secretary-General Ant\u00f3nio Guterres, quoted by EuroNews, Thursday\n(June 4, 2026).<\/p>\n
This warning comes after several regions of Western Europe recorded\nthe highest spring temperatures in history due to the formation of a\nheat dome phenomenon. Scientists predict that similar events will become\nmore intense, longer, and more frequent as El Ni\u00f1o develops.<\/p>\n
Scientists have even warned that the impact could last until\n2028.<\/p>\n
El Ni\u00f1o is triggered by the warming of sea surface temperatures in\nthe tropical Pacific Ocean. This condition causes changes in global\nweather patterns and often triggers extreme weather in various\nregions.<\/p>\n
WMO Secretary-General Celeste Saulo said the world needs to prepare\nfor greater impacts than usual.<\/p>\n
\u201cWe need to prepare for the potential of a strong El Ni\u00f1o event,\nwhich will exacerbate droughts and heavy rains and increase the risk of\nheat waves both on land and in the oceans,\u201d she said.<\/p>\n
The WMO noted that the last El Ni\u00f1o period, from 2023-2024, was one\nof the five strongest in history. This phenomenon also contributed to\nmaking 2024 the hottest year on record globally.<\/p>\n
The 2024 European climate report shows that the impact of El Ni\u00f1o at\nthat time was very contrasting. Eastern Europe experienced extreme heat\nand drought, while Western Europe was hit by heavy rain and floods.<\/p>\n
According to Guterres, the impact of this El Ni\u00f1o could be more\nwidespread.<\/p>\n
\u201cThis year, the impact will hit harder, reach further, and cross\nborders at a devastating speed,\u201d he said.<\/p>\n
The UN had previously warned of an 86% chance that the next few years\nwill exceed the record for global hot temperatures recorded in 2024.<\/p>\n
Scientists believe that the risk is increasing because a strong El\nNi\u00f1o is occurring at the same time as the continued increase in the rate\nof global warming.<\/p>\n
Although climate change is not believed to increase the frequency or\nintensity of El Ni\u00f1o, the increasingly warming conditions of the Earth\nmake its impact more severe.<\/p>\n
The warmer oceans and atmosphere provide more energy and moisture\nthat trigger heat waves, extreme rainfall, and various other extreme\nweather events.<\/p>\n
Based on WMO observations, sea surface temperatures began to approach\nthe El Ni\u00f1o threshold from late April to mid-May. In fact, subsurface\ntemperatures in the tropical Pacific were recorded more than 6 degrees\nCelsius above average, indicating a large reserve of heat that could\nstrengthen the phenomenon.<\/p>\n
The WMO stated that each El Ni\u00f1o event has its own uniqueness in\nterms of evolution, spatial patterns, and impacts.<\/p>\n
However, this phenomenon is usually associated with increased\nrainfall in parts of southern South America, southern United States, the\nHorn of Africa, and Central Asia. As well as drought in Australia,\nIndonesia, and parts of southern Asia.<\/p>\n
During the summer in the northern hemisphere, the warm waters of El\nNi\u00f1o can trigger storms in the central\/eastern Pacific Ocean, while\ninhibiting storm formation in the Atlantic basin.<\/p>", "url": "https:\/\/jawawa.id\/newsitem\/el-nino-to-bring-major-disasters-droughts-extreme-heat-un-cites-indonesia-1780554175", "image": "" }, "sponsor": "Okusi Associates", "sponsor_url": "https:\/\/okusiassociates.com" }