Dry season around the corner: Agency<\/p>\n
JAKARTA (JP): The dry season this year will begin as early as
\nApril in Jakarta and most northern areas of East Java, which
\nmeans that during March there will still be rainfall, the weather
\nforecast agency says.<\/p>\n
Some parts of eastern Indonesia, such as eastern Lombok and
\nSumbawa's western coast, will even enter the dry season as early
\nas the first ten days of this month, the Meteorology and
\nGeophysics Agency said yesterday.<\/p>\n
Karjoto Santokusumo, the agency chairman, told reporters that
\n60 percent of the dry season of this year would be \"normal,\"
\nwhich will hopefully help boost food production.<\/p>\n
The eastern regions of the country, from Bali up to East
\nTimor, except the two mentioned areas, are expected to enter the
\ndry spell later than the western part, as early as April, he
\nsaid.<\/p>\n
Karjoto added that most of Sumatra, except Batanghari,
\nIndragiri Hilir and south-east Aceh, would only dry out in May.
\nIn the same month the dry season will begin in northern Central
\nJava and East Java, he said.<\/p>\n
The eastern part of South Kalimantan and East Kalimantan and
\nthe central part of South Sulawesi and the tip of Minahasa, in
\nthe north of the island, would be the latest regions, with the
\ndry season beginning only in July.<\/p>\n
The central part of West Java and Central Java, the source of
\nmany rivers, will get the dry season in June.<\/p>\n
Rain during the dry season out of Java island will be \"above
\nnormal\" or \"normal\", he said, except for southern Sumatra which
\nwill be \"below normal\".<\/p>\n
Karjoto observed that for the past five years there have been
\n\"normal\" rainy seasons, he said.<\/p>\n
\"The rainfall during the dry season of 1995 hit 103 percent,\"
\nKarjoto said. \"1995 was the most 'friendly' year from the point
\nof view of food production.\"<\/p>\n
In the southern hemisphere there is a phenomenon called \"ENSO\"
\n(El Nino-Southern Oscillation), which affected rainfall in
\nIndonesia in 1995. As a result, the dry season of that year was
\n\"normal\", as the weather agency had predicted.<\/p>\n
Karjoto said that ENSO weakened during the last part of 1995
\nand the beginning of 1996. The phenomenon is now being followed
\nby its antithesis, \"La Nina\", which increases rainfall.<\/p>\n
\"If ENSO comes back, we will have to be careful in either 1997
\nor 1998 or 1999,\" he said. He did not give a more precise
\nstatement because the agency has not found the correct prediction
\nmethod.
\n(16)<\/p>",
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