{
    "success": true,
    "data": {
        "id": 1814433,
        "msgid": "behind-the-us-iran-peace-israels-disappointment-and-washingtons-economic-calculus-1781995826",
        "date": "2026-06-21 05:05:03",
        "title": "Behind the US\u2013Iran Peace: Israel's Disappointment and Washington's Economic Calculus",
        "author": "Erdy Nasrul",
        "source": "REPUBLIKA",
        "tags": "",
        "topic": "Politics",
        "summary": "The recent US\u2013Iran memorandum of understanding, which paves the way for 60 days of peace talks, masks deep Israeli frustration and a pragmatic economic motive from Washington. Israel views the deal as a strategic setback that overlooks Iran's ballistic missile programme and regional proxies, while the US prioritises reopening the Strait of Hormuz to stabilise global energy markets. The agreement's immediate impact saw oil prices plummet, underscoring President Trump's focus on domestic economic pressures over symbolic geopolitical victories.",
        "content": "<p>When United States President Donald Trump and Iranian President\nMasoud Pezeshkian signed a memorandum of understanding opening the path\nfor 60 days of peace negotiations, global attention immediately focused\non the end of tensions that had shaken the Middle East for more than\nthree months. Yet behind the diplomatic euphoria, two major narratives\nrun in parallel: Israel\u2019s profound disappointment and the economic\npressures driving Washington to end its confrontation with Tehran. For\nIsrael, this agreement is not merely a diplomatic step, but a strategic\nshift that potentially reduces its room for manoeuvre against Iran and\nits allied groups. It is unsurprising that media and political circles\nclose to Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu accuse the Trump\nadministration of granting excessive concessions to Tehran. Some have\neven used harsh language, claiming Washington has \u2018sold Israel\u2019 to reach\na deal with Iran. Tel Aviv\u2019s disappointment is understandable when\nexamining the substance of the circulating memorandum. The agreement\nreopens shipping lanes in the Strait of Hormuz, reduces the blockade on\nIran, extends a ceasefire for 60 days, and opens the path to sanctions\nrelief if negotiations proceed as planned. Meanwhile, the issues most\nsensitive to Israel\u2014namely Iran\u2019s ballistic missile programme and\nTehran\u2019s regional influence through Hezbollah and its allied groups\u2014were\nnot made preconditions in the initial stage of the deal. Furthermore,\nIsraeli sources revealed that Washington is pushing for the withdrawal\nof Israeli forces from several points in southern Lebanon and the Mount\nHermon area in Syria to maintain diplomatic momentum with Iran. For\nNetanyahu, such demands mean sacrificing what Israel considers security\nachievements on its northern front. However, reading this agreement\nsolely from the perspective of Israel\u2019s security concerns misses the\nbigger picture. The more important question is why Trump chose to make\npeace now. The answer lies in economics. Behind the language of\ndiplomacy and regional stability, there are global economic interests\ntoo large for Washington to ignore. During the conflict, the Strait of\nHormuz\u2014a chokepoint for roughly 20 percent of global oil trade and the\nmajority of Gulf energy exports\u2014suffered serious disruption. The closure\nand restrictions on shipping in the area not only disrupted global\nenergy supply chains but also triggered spikes in logistics costs and\ninternational market uncertainty. The agreement signed by Washington and\nTehran specifically mandates the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz\nwithin 30 days, the lifting of the US naval blockade on Iranian ports,\nand the provision of relief on some Iranian oil sanctions. Additionally,\nthe United States reportedly agreed to release approximately US$25\nbillion in frozen Iranian assets and committed to not imposing new\nsanctions during the negotiation process. Market reaction underscored\nthe economic dimensions of the deal. Immediately after the memorandum\nwas announced, global oil prices fell sharply. Brent crude dropped to\naround US$78 per barrel, while West Texas Intermediate (WTI) fell to\nabout US$75 per barrel, the lowest levels since the conflict erupted.\nInvestors anticipated that the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz would\nreturn tens of millions of barrels of oil held up in the Gulf region to\nglobal markets. Reuters even reported that around 54 supertankers\ncarrying nearly 87 million barrels of oil were waiting for the\nnormalisation of shipping routes. For Donald Trump, these figures are\nfar more important than a symbolic geopolitical victory. Stable energy\nprices mean lower inflationary pressures, reduced transportation costs,\nand improved American consumer sentiment. Conversely, a prolonged war\nwith Iran risked pushing oil prices back to high levels that could\ndisrupt US economic growth. Thus, the agreement with Tehran is\nessentially a pragmatic step to secure domestic economic interests while\ncalming global energy markets.<\/p>",
        "url": "https:\/\/jawawa.id\/newsitem\/behind-the-us-iran-peace-israels-disappointment-and-washingtons-economic-calculus-1781995826",
        "image": ""
    },
    "sponsor": "Okusi Associates",
    "sponsor_url": "https:\/\/okusiassociates.com"
}