It may feel like this rainy season in Bali is never-ending, but for\nthose who are already counting down the days until dry season begins,\nyou may need to be careful what you wish for.<\/p>\n
Though the rainy season is far from over, forecasters are already\npredicting that the upcoming dry season could bring on serious droughts\nin Bali\u2019s top tourism destinations and beyond.<\/p>\n
Bali\u2019s currently facing one of the worst rainy seasons in recent\nhistory. From fallen trees to landslides to widespread flooding, the\nimpact of the devastation caused by rain, wind, and electrical storms\nover the last five months is yet to be fully calculated.<\/p>\n
Typically, Bali\u2019s rainy season arrives in early November, late\nOctober on occasion. But in 2025, the rainy season arrived markedly\nearlier than usual, with Denpasar and many parts of Badung Regency\nseeing the worst rainfall in more than 70 years, resulting in\nlife-changing flooding for thousands of people.<\/p>\n
In most years, the dry season is officially declared by mid-April.\nHowever, it is unclear whether the seasonal changes will impact the\nstart of the drier months. Only last week were all regions of Bali\nissued with extreme weather warnings, at a time when normally the rain\nis starting to let up.<\/p>\n
Forecasters have shared their initial expectations of when the dry\nseason will arrive, but it feels like anything could still happen. The\nMeteorology, Climatology, and Geophysics Agency (BMKG) predicts that\nmost parts of Indonesia will enter the dry season in 2026 earlier than\nthe climatological average.<\/p>\n
Forecasters have cited a weak La Ni\u00f1a phenomenon in February 2026,\nwhich has now shifted into a neutral phase and has the potential to\ndevelop into an El Ni\u00f1o by the middle of the year.<\/p>\n
The Head of BMKG, Teuku Faisal Fathani, explained that monitoring of\nglobal climate anomalies in the Pacific Ocean shows that the ENSO index\nis currently at -0.28 or in a neutral condition and is expected to last\nuntil June 2026.<\/p>\n
However, starting in the middle of the year, the chance of a\nweak-to-moderate El Ni\u00f1o category reaches 50-60%, meaning drought and\nextreme dry heat are more likely throughout the second half of the\nyear.<\/p>\n
Fathani explained, \u201cRegions predicted to experience an earlier onset\nof the dry season include most of Sumatra, Java, Bali, Nusa Tenggara,\nsouthern and eastern Kalimantan, most of Sulawesi, Maluku, and parts of\nPapua.\u201d<\/p>\n
Areas predicted to experience the peak of the dry season in July\ninclude parts of Sumatra, central and northern Kalimantan, and small\nparts of Java.<\/p>\n
Bali tourists planning on vacationing in the province in August\nshould be aware, the peak of the dry season is predicted to be longer\nthan usual, encompassing central and southern Sumatra, Central and East\nJava, most of Kalimantan and Sulawesi, all of Bali and Nusa Tenggara,\nwhich includes the Gili Islands, Lombok and Labuan Bajo aka Komodo\nNational Park, parts of Maluku and Papua.<\/p>\n
These early forecasts are of most significance to farmers across\nIndonesia who are already being encouraged to adjust planting schedules\nby choosing plant varieties that are more water-efficient,\ndrought-resistant, and have a shorter harvest period.<\/p>\n
Fathani concluded, \u201cAll of this predictive information constitutes an\nearly warning that must be immediately followed up with concrete steps\n(early action) by stakeholders to minimize the risk of drought in\nIndonesia.\u201d<\/p>\n
However, for tourists traveling to Bali and Indonesia more broadly,\nit is important to have an awareness of the risks of drought and an\nintense dry season later this year, as well as being aware of the risks\nof the rainy season, which continues to fall over Bali Province at the\nmoment.<\/p>\n
For tourists set to travel to Bali in the peak of the dry season,\nconsiderations must be made about access to accommodation with AC,\ninternal travel, and, in some cases, even access to water. For example,\nthe Gili Islands regularly have issues with fresh water supply, which\nimpacts local community members and tourists too.<\/p>\n
Here at The Bali Sun, we will continue to bring you the latest travel\nnews to help you make informed decisions about your travel in Bali and\naround Indonesia, including these all-important weather updates.<\/p>\n
It is also possible to check in with the latest forecast and extreme\nweather warnings via the Bali Meteorology, Climatology, and Geophysics\nAgency on Instagram.<\/p>\n
Remove All Ads & Unlock All Articles\u2026 Sign up for The Bali Sun\nPremium<\/p>\n
Plan Your Bali Holiday:<\/p>\n
Book The Best English Speaking Drivers For Airport Transfers &\nTours<\/p>\n
Choose From Thousands of Bali Hotels, Resorts, and Hostels with Free\nCancellation On Most Properties<\/p>\n
Book Cheap Flights To Bali<\/p>\n
Don\u2019t Forget Travel Insurance That Covers Medical Expenses In\nBali<\/p>\n
For the latest Bali News & Debate Join our Facebook Community<\/p>\n
SUBSCRIBE TO NEW POSTS<\/p>\n
Enter your email address to subscribe to The Bali Sun\u2019s latest\nbreaking news, straight to your inbox.<\/p>\n
Discover more from The Bali Sun<\/p>\n
Subscribe to get the latest posts sent to your email.<\/p>", "url": "https:\/\/jawawa.id\/newsitem\/bali-at-risk-of-drought-during-dry-season-despite-devastating-rainy-season-1773068457", "image": "" }, "sponsor": "Okusi Associates", "sponsor_url": "https:\/\/okusiassociates.com" }