{
    "success": true,
    "data": {
        "id": 1813729,
        "msgid": "analyst-optimistic-pertamax-price-projected-to-decline-gradually-heres-why-1781941839",
        "date": "2026-06-20 13:54:00",
        "title": "Analyst Optimistic Pertamax Price Projected to Decline Gradually, Here's Why",
        "author": "Indriyani Astuti",
        "source": "MEDIA_INDONESIA",
        "tags": "",
        "topic": "Economy",
        "summary": "An energy economist projects that the price of non-subsidised Pertamax fuel will fall gradually from Rp16,250 per litre in June to around Rp12,100\u2013Rp13,500 by December 2026. The forecast is driven by expectations of a declining Indonesian Crude Price and a strengthening rupiah, influenced by geopolitical developments including US-Iran tensions. The government is advised to prepare scenarios for crude prices ranging from 70 to 90 US dollars per barrel.",
        "content": "<p>Energy economics lecturer at Padjadjaran University (Unpad), Yayan\nSatyaki, projects that the price of Pertamax fuel will decline gradually\nfrom Rp16,250 per litre in June towards a range of Rp12,100 to Rp13,500\nper litre by December 2026. He argues that a reduction in non-subsidised\nfuel prices is already possible, as seen with Dexlite and Pertamina Dex.\nThe projected price trajectory sees Pertamax falling to Rp15,228 per\nlitre in July, then Rp14,557 in August, Rp14,112 in September, Rp13,814\nin October, Rp13,614 in November, and Rp13,479 in December, based on the\nassumption that the Indonesian Crude Price (ICP) will gradually decline\ntowards 90.6 US dollars per barrel by December 2026 and the exchange\nrate will strengthen from Rp17,927 to Rp16,959 over the same period.\nYayan noted that the dynamics of the conflict between the United States\nand Israel with Iran remain fluid. Brent crude oil prices briefly\ntouched 117 US dollars per barrel in April before quickly correcting to\naround 78 US dollars per barrel following a US-Iran peace framework\ninitially set to be signed in Switzerland on Friday (19\/6). Brent prices\nthen rose back above 80 US dollars per barrel on Friday (19\/6) as\ninvestors weighed increased geopolitical risks after the cancellation of\nplanned negotiations between the United States and Iran, as well as new\nIsraeli strikes in Lebanon. He added that global oil prices also\ninfluence the average Indonesian crude price used to determine\nnon-subsidised fuel prices. The 2026 state budget\u2019s macro assumptions\nset the ICP at 70 US dollars per barrel. \u201cThe government needs to\nprepare scenario simulations, for example an ICP of 70 to 90 US dollars\nper barrel,\u201d he said.<\/p>",
        "url": "https:\/\/jawawa.id\/newsitem\/analyst-optimistic-pertamax-price-projected-to-decline-gradually-heres-why-1781941839",
        "image": ""
    },
    "sponsor": "Okusi Associates",
    "sponsor_url": "https:\/\/okusiassociates.com"
}