US President Donald Trump has signalled that his country will soon\nend its involvement in the conflict with Iran. This step is being taken\nwithout toppling the Iranian regime, opening the Strait of Hormuz, or\nreaching an official agreement with Tehran to halt attacks on the US and\nits allies.<\/p>\n
Citing CNN, Trump stated that the main strategic objectives are\nnearly achieved. He noted that significant damage has been inflicted on\nIran\u2019s military programme, including its missile capabilities, navy, and\nproxy networks.<\/p>\n
Trump also emphasised that the most difficult phase of the conflict\nhas been overcome and is optimistic that this withdrawal can ease global\neconomic pressures, particularly from disruptions to energy and shipping\nroutes in the Persian Gulf.<\/p>\n
However, Iran has asserted that it will determine when the war ends.\nIranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi stated that his country is\nprepared to continue the conflict for at least the next six months.<\/p>\n
Several analysts assess that the United States\u2019 rapid withdrawal\ncould potentially prolong the conflict. Here are the four main\nreasons.<\/p>\n
Although Trump claims the objective of preventing Iran from\ndeveloping nuclear weapons has been achieved, reports indicate that more\nthan 400 kilograms of highly enriched uranium remains unaccounted\nfor.<\/p>\n
This situation raises concerns that Iran may accelerate its nuclear\nprogramme. Moreover, changes in leadership and the strengthening of\nhardline groups could drive more aggressive policies.<\/p>\n
Rather than weakening, Iran could become more insular and bolder in\ndeveloping its military capabilities.<\/p>\n
The Strait of Hormuz is a vital route for global energy distribution.\nIf the US withdraws without an agreement to reopen the route, Iran could\nunilaterally control shipping traffic.<\/p>\n
This could create significant pressure on global energy markets. Oil\nand fuel prices would remain high due to supply disruptions, even though\nthe United States does not fully rely on energy imports from the\nregion.<\/p>\n
This condition also opens opportunities for Iran to gain additional\neconomic benefits through control of international shipping lanes.<\/p>\n
During the conflict, Iran has launched direct attacks on Gulf states\u2019\nterritories and disrupted their oil exports.<\/p>\n
If the United States withdraws without a security agreement, Gulf\ncountries risk facing continued attack threats. Additionally, Iran could\ngain greater influence in determining energy export flows from the\nregion.<\/p>\n
This move could also damage trust in the United States\u2019 long-promised\nsecurity protection commitments.<\/p>\n
Without active US involvement, Israel is likely to continue its\nmilitary operations against Iran and its allies.<\/p>\n
This could expand the conflict to other areas such as Lebanon and\nGaza. Furthermore, there is no guarantee that Iran will cease\nretaliatory attacks, leaving the risk of escalation high.<\/p>\n
This situation keeps the potential for a broader regional conflict\nopen.<\/p>", "url": "https:\/\/jawawa.id\/newsitem\/4-facts-why-the-us-iran-war-will-not-end-soon-1775141486", "image": "" }, "sponsor": "Okusi Associates", "sponsor_url": "https:\/\/okusiassociates.com" }