Mon, 24 Nov 2008
Lima, Peru. Indonesia may revise its economic growth forecasts, as declining foreign investment and weakening demand for exports slows the country’s expansion, President Susilo Bambang Yudhoyono said over the weekend.

Southeast Asia’s largest economy may grow 6 percent this year amid the worsening global financial crisis, Yudhoyono told business leaders in Lima, where he is attending the annual meeting of the Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation forum. The official 2008 GDP forecast was 6.2 percent.

“We expect export growth to slow down with falling commodity prices and a global recession,” Yudhoyono said. “Our economic growth is dependent on developed and developing nations. The sources of growth will come more from our large domestic market.”

Exporters in Indonesia, the world’s biggest producer of palm oil and the second-largest maker of rubber, are reeling from a slump in commodity prices amid recessions in the US, Europe and Japan.

Indonesia’s economy grew at the slowest pace in six quarters in the three months ended September.

Growth may be as little as 5 percent in 2009, down from a previous estimate of between 5.5 percent and 6.5 percent, Finance Minister Sri Indrawati Mulyani said this month. Still, Indonesia is more resilient now than it was a decade ago during the Asian financial crisis, Yudhoyono said over the weekend.

Last week, the Central Statistics Agency said that Indonesia’s gross domestic product in the third quarter fell to its lowest growth rate in 18 months, triggered by slowdown of export growth on the back of global economic slowdown.

Still, year-on-year GDP growth of 6.11 percent in the third quarter compared to 6.44 percent in the second quarter was higher than many analysts expected, as a strong rise in government expenditures and only a modest weakening in consumer spending helped buoy the economy.

PT Bank Danamon Tbk economist Anton Gunawan said that the slowdown was partly driven by growth of food crop production, including rice and corn.

Unfortunately, some sectors outside of agriculture also showed some deterioration.

The usually strong growth in vehicle and machinery production eased on a year-on-year basis and managed to pull down economic growth.

Anton said that going forward, the economy is still poised to slow in the fourth quarter and the whole of 2009.

Up until October, consumer confidence has not declined, but car and motorcycle sales have shown signs of easing. So too have domestic cement sales. Meanwhile, export growth may continue to deteriorate as external demand falls further.

“But an important point to note is that import growth could also slow significantly in response,” Anton said.

“So we must stress that the forthcoming current account deterioration should not be exaggerated.”
He said that slowing imports could also provide a buffer during the downturn and may prevent the economy from contracting severely. In connection with this, he expects the country’s economy to grow by close to 6.2 percent and may drop further to around 5 percent in 2009.

Bloomberg & Jakarta Globe



News Search/Filter
Transaction Rates
18 Jul 18
Buy
Sell
AED1
3,883.40
3,883.40
AFN1
196.20
196.20
ALL1
132.32
132.32
AMD1
29.74
29.74
ANG1
7,734.51
7,734.51
AOA1
56.25
56.25
ARS1
518.39
518.39
AUD1
10,523.80
10,523.80
AWG1
7,972.29
7,972.29
AZN1
8,378.53
8,378.53
BAM1
8,549.53
8,549.53
BBD1
7,132.22
7,132.22
BDT1
168.87
168.87
BGN1
8,498.33
8,498.33
BHD1
37,675.75
37,675.75
BIF1
8.05
8.05
BMD1
14,264.45
14,264.45
BND1
10,471.57
10,471.57
BOB1
2,065.19
2,065.19
BRL1
3,717.11
3,717.11
BSD1
14,264.45
14,264.45
BTC1
104,765,318
104,765,318
BTN1
208.51
208.51
BWP1
1,394.29
1,394.29
BYN1
7,207.04
7,207.04
BZD1
7,099.72
7,099.72
CAD1
10,803.31
10,803.31
CDF1
8.84
8.84
CHF1
14,257.55
14,257.55
CLF1
599,346.91
599,346.91
CLP1
21.81
21.81
CNH1
2,119.70
2,119.70
CNY1
2,126.61
2,126.61
COP1
4.93
4.93
CRC1
25.17
25.17
CUC1
14,264.45
14,264.45
CUP1
559.39
559.39
CVE1
150.35
150.35
CZK1
642.72
642.72
DJF1
80.13
80.13
DKK1
2,230.05
2,230.05
DOP1
287.05
287.05
DZD1
121.09
121.09
EGP1
796.89
796.89
ERN1
950.32
950.32
ETB1
516.40
516.40
EUR1
16,622.72
16,622.72
FJD1
6,768.43
6,768.43
FKP1
18,693.19
18,693.19
GBP1
18,693.19
18,693.19
GEL1
5,824.26
5,824.26
GGP1
18,693.19
18,693.19
GHS1
2,978.76
2,978.76
GIP1
18,693.19
18,693.19
GMD1
298.10
298.10
GNF1
1.58
1.58
GTQ1
1,904.61
1,904.61
GYD1
68.20
68.20
HKD1
1,817.39
1,817.39
HNL1
593.83
593.83
HRK1
2,249.63
2,249.63
HTG1
211.46
211.46
HUF1
51.38
51.38
IDR1
1.00
1.00
ILS1
3,926.12
3,926.12
IMP1
18,693.19
18,693.19
INR1
208.64
208.64
IQD1
11.97
11.97
IRR1
0.32
0.32
ISK1
133.64
133.64
JEP1
18,693.19
18,693.19
JMD1
108.99
108.99
JOD1
20,104.85
20,104.85
JPY1
126.20
126.20
KES1
142.08
142.08
KGS1
209.12
209.12
KHR1
3.51
3.51
KMF1
33.78
33.78
KPW1
15.84
15.84
KRW1
12.66
12.66
KWD1
47,117.22
47,117.22
KYD1
17,125.63
17,125.63
KZT1
41.52
41.52
LAK1
1.69
1.69
LBP1
9.43
9.43
LKR1
89.21
89.21
LRD1
88.24
88.24
LSL1
1,075.05
1,075.05
LYD1
10,387.75
10,387.75
MAD1
1,505.03
1,505.03
MDL1
855.64
855.64
MGA1
4.24
4.24
MKD1
270.04
270.04
MMK1
9.96
9.96
MNT1
5.84
5.84
MOP1
1,765.22
1,765.22
MRO1
40.12
40.12
MRU1
397.78
397.78
MUR1
414.72
414.72
MVR1
925.65
925.65
MWK1
19.63
19.63
MXN1
755.02
755.02
MYR1
3,526.60
3,526.60
MZN1
241.60
241.60
NAD1
1,075.05
1,075.05
NGN1
39.51
39.51
NIO1
449.42
449.42
NOK1
1,748.99
1,748.99
NPR1
130.31
130.31
NZD1
9,658.53
9,658.53
OMR1
37,052.07
37,052.07
PAB1
14,264.45
14,264.45
PEN1
4,363.95
4,363.95
PGK1
4,336.64
4,336.64
PHP1
266.90
266.90
PKR1
111.99
111.99
PLN1
3,869.35
3,869.35
PYG1
2.49
2.49
QAR1
3,917.73
3,917.73
RON1
3,574.16
3,574.16
RSD1
140.92
140.92
RUB1
227.67
227.67
RWF1
16.42
16.42
SAR1
3,803.55
3,803.55
SBD1
1,811.69
1,811.69
SCR1
1,053.50
1,053.50
SDG1
792.73
792.73
SEK1
1,612.99
1,612.99
SGD1
10,444.57
10,444.57
SHP1
18,693.19
18,693.19
SLL1
2.26
2.26
SOS1
24.62
24.62
SRD1
1,912.63
1,912.63
SSP1
109.50
109.50
STD1
0.67
0.67
STN1
678.45
678.45
SVC1
1,631.02
1,631.02
SYP1
27.69
27.69
SZL1
1,074.76
1,074.76
THB1
427.97
427.97
TJS1
1,514.89
1,514.89
TMT1
4,061.64
4,061.64
TND1
5,398.08
5,398.08
TOP1
6,169.91
6,169.91
TRY1
2,969.43
2,969.43
TTD1
2,117.24
2,117.24
TWD1
467.68
467.68
TZS1
6.25
6.25
UAH1
543.82
543.82
UGX1
3.83
3.83
USD1
14,264.45
14,264.45
UYU1
455.77
455.77
UZS1
1.82
1.82
VEF1
0.17
0.17
VND1
0.62
0.62
VUV1
130.54
130.54
WST1
5,509.14
5,509.14
XAF1
25.34
25.34
XAG1
222,189.94
222,189.94
XAU1
17,505,837.44
17,505,837.44
XCD1
5,278.14
5,278.14
XDR1
20,068.39
20,068.39
XOF1
25.34
25.34
XPD1
13,087,137.67
13,087,137.67
XPF1
139.29
139.29
XPT1
11,661,113.08
11,661,113.08
YER1
56.97
56.97
ZAR1
1,073.79
1,073.79
ZMW1
1,423.45
1,423.45
ZWL1
44.25
44.25
Taxation Exchange Rates
31 Aug 16 - 06 Sep 16
USD 1
13,232.00
AUD 1
10,043.30
CAD 1
10,213.70
DKK 1
1,999.40
HKD 1
1,706.22
MYR 1
3,283.28
NZD 1
9,623.63
NOK 1
1,605.23
GBP 1
17,433.70
SGD 1
9,757.68
SEK 1
1,569.45
CHF 1
13,631.10
JPY 100
13,101.00
MMK 1
11.01
INR 1
197.29
KWD 1
43,920.70
PKR 1
126.23
PHP 1
285.00
SAR 1
3,528.53
LKR 1
91.12
THB 1
382.08
BND 1
9,756.53
EUR 1
14,885.50
CNY 1
1,987.61

Okusi Associates: Indonesian Business & Management Services